To: Kirk © who wrote (9339 ) 4/20/2020 11:31:52 AM From: Kirk © Respond to of 26763 Severely Flawed Stanford coronavirus study: Surprise, surprise, NOT! It turns out some very qualified "Biostatisticians" completely agree with my quick analysis. The funniest thing pointed out is the error bar percentage exceeds the total percentage of infected calculated yet they didn't mention that the sampling error of the study might make any interpretation of results... folly.mercurynews.com Feud over Stanford coronavirus study: ‘The authors owe us all an apology’ Angry statisticians dispute Santa Clara County research that found high infection ratesCritics claim the study’s methodology is dangerously flawed and question the political motives of the Stanford-led team. ... “This is exactly the way peer-review should work in scientific work, and we are looking forward to engaging with other scholars as we proceed in this important work,” he said. ... “I think the authors owe us all an apology … not just to us, but to Stanford,” wrote Andrew Gelman, a professor of statistics and political science and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University, calling the conclusions “some numbers that were essentially the product of a statistical error. ” ... Biostatistician Natalie E. Dean of the University of Florida called it a “consent problem.” Participants weren’t randomly selected — they were recruited using Facebook. This means it might have attracted people who thought they were exposed to the virus and wanted testing . And exposed people may have recruited other exposed people for the study. “The prevalence drops off quickly when adjusted for even a small self-selection bias,” wrote Lonnie Chrisman, chief technical officer at the Los Gatos data software company Lumina Decision Systems. mercurynews.com Kirk Lindstrom • 2 days ago • editedUntil they do blind, random testing, you really can't draw conclusions about how many are infected . I would have gotten the test if offered because I had mild COVID-19 but very severe cold symptoms in December... with a rebound cough in February and so did many neighbors as we probably passed it around. IF I did not think I had possible exposure, I'd not take the risk to get stuck by a stranger for some study...."There are other potential biases. The research may have favored people in good health who could drive to a testing site or those with prior COVID-like illnesses who wanted antibody confirmation." I believe these biases are much larger and the way the study was presented it might give fuel for the people who think this is a conspiracy to take down Trump and want to go back to work immediately.