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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend investing for retirement -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (33621)6/14/2021 9:10:27 PM
From: chowder3 Recommendations

Recommended By
Cogito Ergo Sum
E_K_S
Graustus

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34328
 
It's interesting that you picked XLU as a potential purchase. The utility sector has underperformed over the past year or so and seems to be providing sonme of the best values they have seen in a while.

I have chose to take advantage of this opportunity to get more utility exposure via HTD, yield 6.38%. I added more today.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (33621)6/14/2021 10:17:13 PM
From: TigerPaw  Respond to of 34328
 
Dollar cost averaging is still a valid tactic.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (33621)7/6/2021 7:37:22 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34328
 
XLU entry point reconsidered:

I had said, one of my assumptions was a continuation of the LT 11%/y total return. But…interest rates have been declining the entire time this ETF has existed. With 10y treasury yield at 1.5%, and XLU yielding 3%, investors are demanding a 1.5% premium over “safe” Treasuries. If 10y Treasury yield increases to 3%, and investors demand the same premium, then XLU must yield 3% + 1.5% = 4.5%. 10y treasury yield was 1.6%-3.0%, 2012-2019, so 3% is very possible, once QE ends.

Other things being equal, 2.00 div/0.045 yield = 44$ XLU price. 64$ today.

I could be wrong. Maybe regulators permit rate increases, when interest rates go up. Maybe investors do not demand as much premium over Treasuries. Maybe interest rates stay low LT. Maybe.