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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sense who wrote (175700)8/4/2021 12:08:13 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217712
 
Re <<what percentage of what doesn't work is required to have it work ?>> :0)

very naughty. certainly political. unanswerable. unless we accept the null set as the correct answer.

should events go pear-shape from here on out w/ the vaxx and leads to a hail-mary try at rushing through the mist hoping for the best, and then end up having the economies again shut down, reasonable to imagine that there would be hell to pay for by quite a few somebodies

so, in order to go forward ...

(i) the vaccine shall either work or not, against whatever most popular variant, aided or not by masks / social-distance

(ii) if current vaxx does work, all good, until another fail, either by still more variants or something completely new

(iii) if current vaxx does not work, nothing good, until another hopeful tee-ed up

(iv) key issue now seems to ought to be, does variant D qualify as dangerous, a very basic get-go question

meaning can it simply be allowed to burn through?

Dunno.



To: sense who wrote (175700)8/4/2021 12:40:20 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217712
 
Lambda is of interest, so far, as opposed to of concern ala Delta

Before the entire script plays out, of the virus as opposed to of the LT cumulative effects of the vaccinations, we might learn the complete Greek alphabets.

I cannot make out whether the Delta and Lambda are more troublesome as far as both infectiousness / fatality go. No comparative studies obvious.

It’s like the Taliban, whether the taliban of today is the same or different than the taliban of 20 years ago.

On both, the truth should soon emerge, and might happen on this side of year-end.

reuters.com

Delta infections among vaccinated likely contagious; Lambda variant shows vaccine resistance in lab

Nancy Lapid

August 3, 20213:25 AM HKTLast Updated a day ago

Aug 2 (Reuters) - The following is a roundup of some of the latest scientific studies on the novel coronavirus and efforts to find treatments and vaccines for COVID-19.

Delta breakthrough infections likely contagious

Among people infected by the Delta variant of the coronavirus, fully vaccinated people with "breakthrough" infections may be just as likely as unvaccinated people to spread the virus to others, new research suggests. The higher the amount of coronavirus in the nose and throat, the more likely the patient will infect others. In one Wisconsin county, after Delta became predominant, researchers analyzed viral loads on nose-and-throat swab samples obtained when patients were first diagnosed. They found similar viral loads in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients, with levels often high enough to allow shedding of infectious virus. "A key assumption" underlying current regulations aimed at slowing COVID-19 transmission "is that those who are vaccinated are at very low risk of spreading the virus to others," said study coauthor Katarina Grande of Public Health Madison & Dane County in Madison, Wisconsin. The findings, however, indicate "that vaccinated people should take steps to prevent the spread of the COVID-19 virus to others," she added. In a separate study from Singapore, researchers found that while Delta viral loads were similar in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients, the viral loads decreased faster in the vaccinated group. The Wisconsin and Singapore studies were both posted on Saturday on medRxiv ahead of peer review.

Lambda variant shows vaccine resistance

The Lambda variant of the coronavirus, first identified in Peru and now spreading in South America, is highly infectious and more resistant to vaccines than the original version of the virus the emerged from Wuhan, China, Japanese researchers have found. In laboratory experiments, they found that three mutations in Lambda's spike protein, known as RSYLTPGD246-253N, 260 L452Q and F490S, help it resist neutralization by vaccine-induced antibodies. Two additional mutations, T76I and L452Q, help make Lambda highly infectious, they found. In a paper posted on Wednesday on bioRxiv ahead of peer review, the researchers warn that with Lambda being labeled a "Variant of Interest" by the World Health Organization, rather than a "Variant of Concern," people might not realize it is a serious ongoing threat. Although it is not clear yet whether this variant is more dangerous than the Delta now threatening populations in many countries, senior researcher Kei Sato of the University of Tokyo believes "Lambda can be a potential threat to the human society."

Third mRNA dose may boost antibody quantity, but not quality

Among fully vaccinated people who never had COVID-19, getting a third dose of an mRNA vaccine from Pfizer (PFE.N)/BioNTech or Moderna (MRNA.O)would likely increase levels of antibodies, but not antibodies that are better able to neutralize new virus variants, Rockefeller University researchers reported on Thursday on bioRxiv ahead of peer review. They note that in COVID-19 survivors, the immune system's antibodies evolve during the first year, becoming more potent and better able to resist new variants. In 32 volunteers who never had COVID-19, they found that antibodies induced by mRNA vaccines did evolve between the first and second shots. But five months later, vaccine-induced antibodies were "equivalent" to those seen after the second dose, with "little measurable improvement" in the antibodies' ability to neutralize a broad variety of new variants, said coauthor Michel Nussenzweig. Therefore, he said, giving those individuals a third dose of the same vaccine would likely result in higher levels of antibodies that remain less effective against variants. "At the moment, the vaccine remains protective against serious infection," Nussenzweig said. "Should we learn that efficacy is indeed waning for serious infection, which is not really the case to date," then a booster dose of "whatever is available" might become appropriate, he added. Should an updated vaccine become available that protects against specific variants, "then that would be the choice."

Majority of U.S. childcare providers are vaccinated

U.S. childcare providers have higher COVID-19 vaccination rates than U.S. adults in general, a new study suggests. Researchers sent surveys in May and June to nearly 45,000 childcare providers and received responses from 48%. Overall, 78% of respondents said they were fully vaccinated, compared with a rate of about 60% in the general U.S. population. Roughly 73% of home-based caregivers said they were vaccinated, compared to nearly 80% of those working in facilities. Rates varied widely by state, from a low of 54% in Wyoming to a high of 89% in Massachusetts. The patterns of relative differences in vaccination rates were similar to what is seen in the general population, the researchers reported on Sunday on medRxiv ahead of peer review, with younger, lower-income and Black or African-Americans reporting the lowest vaccination rates. "Efforts to promote COVID-19 vaccine uptake among childcare providers take on added significance when considering the emergence of the more transmissible Delta variant," the authors said. With young children ineligible for COVID-19 vaccination, "the limiting factor in ensuring an adequate supply of childcare services will be contingent on protecting the personal health of childcare providers," they said.

Click for a Reuters graphic on vaccines in development.

Reporting by Nancy Lapid; Editing by Bill Berkrot

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Sent from my iPhone



To: sense who wrote (175700)8/4/2021 4:03:37 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217712
 
CoVid making round trip, and we know what folks say about being fooled once and fooled again. It is interesting to see how the playbook goes. Heart-warming to see the folks lining up for the Greater Good and getting tested.

Should be more interesting how CNN spins it, whatever happens, on the negative side against the CCP whilst trying to not be caught out on its spin for the US way forward and impact the DNC, even as trying to impact the GOP. Very difficult situation.

edition.cnn.com

China's spiraling Delta variant outbreak hits Wuhan, as country introduces mass travel restrictions



Hong Kong (CNN) — China's spiraling Delta variant outbreak has reached Wuhan, the original epicenter of the pandemic, prompting citywide coronavirus testing as authorities scramble to contain the city's first reported local infections in more than a year.

China is grappling with its worst outbreak in months, with more than 300 cases detected in more than two dozen cities across the country. The speed and scale of the spread has spurred mass travel restrictions, reminiscent of the stringent measures adopted during the country's initial outbreak in early 2020.

On Monday, seven infections were reported among migrant workers in Wuhan, the central Chinese city where the coronavirus was first detected in December 2019. As of Wednesday, a total of 20 local infections have been reported, including 8 asymptomatic cases, according to the Hubei provincial health commission.

The city of 11 million people was placed under the world's first and arguably strictest coronavirus lockdown in January 2020, during the height of its devastating initial outbreak. The paralyzing 76-day lockdown came at a huge personal cost to residents, but eventually succeeded in taming the virus. Wuhan had not reported any locally transmitted cases since May last year.

But now, the highly contagious Delta variant has put authorities on high alert.

On Tuesday, Wuhan launched a citywide coronavirus testing drive, with residents forming long lines at community testing sites late into the evening. The city has also suspended 17 bus lines and closed a number of subway stations.

A medical worker takes samples during a mass Covid-19 test inside a residential compound in Wuhan on August 3, 2021.

Some fear the return of a stringent lockdown. Videos and photos shared on social media Monday show empty shelves and long lines at supermarkets, as residents rushed to stock up daily supplies.

"Seeing Wuhan people panic buying at supermarkets makes me feel sad. Only those who have experienced it understand how terrible it is, (we) dread a return to the days of staying at home and not knowing where the next meal is," said a Wuhan resident on Chinese microblogging site Weibo.

During Wuhan's initial lockdown, millions of residents were ordered to stay in their homes, relying on officials and volunteers for daily necessities -- often at a higher price.

As of Wednesday, no citywide lockdown has been announced for Wuhan, although residential compounds linked to detected cases have been placed under targeted lockdowns.

The ongoing outbreak first started in Nanjing, Jiangsu province in eastern China, where nine airport cleaners were found to be infected on July 20 during a routine test. Chinese authorities have linked the cluster to a flight from Russia, which arrived at the Nanjing Lukou International Airport on July 10.

"It is believed that the cleaners did not strictly follow anti-epidemic guidelines after cleaning Flight CA910 and contracted the virus as a result. The infection further spread to other colleagues, who are also responsible for cleaning and transporting garbage on both international and domestic flights," reported state news agency Xinhua.

Since then, the cluster has spread to at least 26 cities, including the tourist hot spot Zhangjiajie and the capital Beijing.

In just two weeks, China has reported more than 480 locally transmitted confirmed cases, according to a CNN tally of the National Health Commission's daily reports.

Not all infections have so far been directly linked to the cluster in Nanjing. On Monday, 63 local infections, including 50 asymptomatic cases, were reported in Zhengzhou, the provincial capital of Henan province which was ravaged by deadly floods last month. Most cases are linked to an outbreak at a hospital, where janitors, medical staff and patients are among those infected. The city launched citywide testing Sunday.

"The main variant currently spreading is the Delta variant, which spreads rapidly, multiplies quickly inside the body and takes a long time (for the infected) to test negative, posing a greater challenge to our disease prevention and control work," Mi Feng, spokesperson of the National Health Commission, said at a press conference Saturday.

The fast spreading Delta variant has posed a major challenge to China's hardline zero Covid strategy, which relies on mass testing, targeted lockdowns, extensive contact tracing and strict quarantine measures to quickly suppress local flare-ups.

China responded by doubling down on its containment approach, adopting stringent measures on a scale not seen in months. Several cities have been placed under effective lockdowns, ordering residents to stay in their homes and canceling flights and trains.

The country has also imposed massive nationwide travel restrictions. All provincial authorities have urged citizens not to travel to medium and high-risk areas or leave the provinces where they live unless it is strictly necessary.

The Chinese government is particularly concerned about the spread of the virus to Beijing, which is set to hold the Winter Olympics in February next year. The city has reported a handful of cases since last week -- its first coronavirus resurgence in months.

Beijing authorities have banned people from medium- or high-risk areas from entering, suspending flights, trains and buses from Covid-hit places. Since Tuesday, 23 railway stations have halted ticket sales for train rides heading to the capital, Xinhua reported.

Mahjong parlors

China reported 71 locally transmitted confirmed cases On Wednesday, with nearly half of them coming from Jiangsu province, according to the National Health Commission. The city of Yangzhou, neighboring Nanjing, has become the latest hotspot, reporting 32 local infections.

Authorities have blamed the outbreak in Yangzhou on a 70-year-old Nanjing resident, who traveled to Yangzhou on July 21 despite her residence in Nanjing had been placed under a lockdown, according to a statement from the Yangzhou police.

The elderly woman, who stayed in Yangzhou with her sister, did not inform local officials of her travel history as required, and repeatedly visited crowded places including restaurants, markets and mahjong parlors, the statement said.

The woman sought treatment at a hospital on July 27 after she started coughing and developed a fever, and tested positive for coronavirus a day later. She has been criminally detained by police and is under investigation for suspected obstruction of the prevention and control of infectious diseases, according to the statement.

Mahjong parlors, popular with older people, have played a central role in the spread of Covid in Yangzhou, according to authorities. On Wednesday, Jiangsu officials said at a press conference that 64% of Yangzhou's 94 confirmed cases as of Tuesday were linked to Mahjong parlors, and 68% of confirmed cases are above 60 years old.
Both Yangzhou and Nanjing have conducted several rounds of citywide testing, and suspended all domestic flights, long-distance buses, taxis and online car hailing services from arriving and departing.



To: sense who wrote (175700)8/4/2021 6:54:17 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217712
 
Re <<threshold>>

Is there some sort of threshold that might be crossed by the eviction ban that might cause a problem big enough for the fiscal authorities to open spigot to gush-quench the demands of the proletariats, that which might result in some consolation prize in form of QE to the owners of gold tokens ?

Likely a bad time to be owner of rental property, especially if leveraged? Or is / will there be some relief to mortgage borrowers?

We might not be free in HK, even as arguable, but we do not have the government telling our tenants that they can renege on rental agreements.

In case of doubt, socialism / communism does not and cannot work well.

bloomberg.com

Biden’s New Eviction Ban Eases Liberal Ire at Cost of Legal Risk
Nancy Cook
August 4, 2021, 2:00 PM GMT+8
President Joe Biden quelled for now a brewing confrontation with progressive Democrats with a new moratorium on evictions during the pandemic, but the order invites a legal fight with high-stakes consequences for public health that the government may well lose.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s order on Tuesday, following several days of legal wrangling within the administration, aims to keep tenants who are in arrears from losing their homes until Oct. 3. White House officials hope that’s enough time to stand up a long-delayed $47 billion rental assistance program.

The ban came after Biden’s White House failed to anticipate outrage and finger-pointing from its own party after he called Thursday for Congress to extend a previous moratorium set to expire just two days later. Lawmakers in the House, under lobbying by landlords, failed to act before leaving town for the rest of the summer.

The drama illustrated the White House’s struggle to contain a resurgence of the pandemic fueled by the delta variant of coronavirus, which has the U.S. again recording tens of thousands of infections per day and testing hospital capacity in under-vaccinated states, particularly in the politically conservative South. Biden on Tuesday showed his frustration, chastising Republican governors in seven states for banning mask mandates, including in schools.

Biden warned at the White House that the new eviction moratorium “is likely to face obstacles,” given indications by a majority of Supreme Court justices that further bans would require congressional action. He said his administration is urging states and local governments to more quickly distribute federal aid for tenants and landlords authorized months ago that has suffered bureaucratic delays.

The president said he had consulted constitutional scholars on executive and agency action on a new eviction moratorium, asking them, “What could they do that was most likely to pass muster constitutionally?”

“The bulk of the constitutional scholarship says it’s not likely to pass constitutional muster, number one,” he said. “But there are several key scholars who say that it may and it’s worth the effort.”

Those remarks provoked at least one progressive, New York Representative Mondaire Jones, who predicted lawyers for landlords would cite Biden in their court challenges against the new moratorium.

“It is odd, I think, to raise issues about the constitutionality of your own executive action shortly before making that executive action,” he said. “That is not the behavior, that is not the commentary of someone who is actually trying to help people. And it’s really frustrating to hear that kind of language come from the president of the United States.”

‘Spectrum of Consequences’But in its statement accompanying the latest moratorium, the CDC tried to ground the ban in matters of public health, not politics. Evictions are prohibited in areas of the country with substantial or high transmission of coronavirus, the agency said, noting the country’s slowed pace of vaccinations and troubles getting the rental assistance program operational.

“The emergence of the delta variant has led to a rapid acceleration of community transmission in the United States, putting more Americans at increased risk, especially if they are unvaccinated,” CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said in a statement. “This moratorium is the right thing to do to keep people in their homes and out of congregate settings where COVID-19 spreads.”

The order would cover about 80% of U.S. counties and 90% of renters, a person familiar with the matter said.

If a legal challenge gets to the Supreme Court before the eviction ban expires, the administration risks conservative justices using the case as an opportunity to curtail broad powers the CDC has exercised during the pandemic, said Lindsay Wiley, Director of the Health Law and Policy Program at the American University Washington College of Law.

The court declined to issue a stay against the CDC’s previous moratorium in June, but by a narrow 5-4 majority. The deciding justice, Brett Kavanaugh, said in an opinion that he believed the CDC’s action was unconstitutional and that he would not support an extension beyond July 31 unless it was approved by Congress.

The CDC has used its authority in the pandemic to require Americans to wear masks on airplanes and public transit and to regulate the activity of cruise ships, in addition to halting evictions.

“The court could issue a decision that could adopt a very far-right constitutional interpretation, which could create vulnerability for environmental and financial regulations. There is a spectrum of consequences,” Wiley said. “The White House is right to be careful in pressing this issue.”

Senator Pat Toomey, a Pennsylvania Republican, said Tuesday evening on Twitter that the new moratorium “lacks both a legal basis and an economic justification” and that the White House should have focused on “dealing with its failure to get money owed to landlords rather than papering over its failures with illegal actions.”



Cori Bush, center, joined by Congressional staffers and activists, protests the expiration of the eviction moratorium outside of the U.S. Capitol on July 31.

Photographer: Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

Bush’s ProtestBut political concerns -- including the growing anger of fellow Democrats -- and the potential evictions of millions of Americans ended up trumping the White House’s legal qualms. Already angered by the White House’s perceived lack of action on voting rights and climate change, progressive activists grew furious about the lapse of the eviction moratorium.

The White House did not call on Congress to try to extend the moratorium until two days before it was set to expire, even though aides had weeks to prepare. Congressional leaders called them on it, leading to a rare blame-game between top House Democrats and the Biden White House.

The executive director of the activist group MoveOn.org, Rahna Epting, said pressure from progressive lawmakers had forced the Biden administration to act on a new moratorium. She cited Representative Cori Bush of Missouri, who slept on the steps of the Capitol for several nights beginning on Friday to protest the expiration of the previous ban.

“She showed us the urgency and the substance of this and how it will affect millions of people. This could have quietly gone into the night if she had not organized and protested,” Epting said of Bush, who herself once was homeless.

The White House spent days trying to explain the legal reasoning behind an initial CDC decision that it couldn’t issue another extension and dispatched top officials, including Vice President Kamala Harris and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, to answer lawmakers’ questions.

Earlier Tuesday, Yellen faced considerable anger from House Democrats, who demanded the administration take immediate action to extend the ban on evictions, according to multiple people who participated in the call.

Yellen stressed that the administration was focused on getting states and localities to more quickly distribute the rental assistance Congress has already approved.

Anthony Michael Kreis, an assistant professor of constitutional law at Georgia State University, said that if Kavanaugh and the high court’s conservatives wind up striking down the new moratorium, Biden could seize a political opportunity.

“Democrats can put the blame on the Supreme Court, and say, ‘you know, we tried everything we could, Republicans and the Supreme Court just could not let this happen,”’ he said. “That’s a lot better position politically, in terms of strategizing, than just: sit on your hands and do nothing.”

— With assistance by Jarrell Dillard

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