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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (186591)	4/19/2022 8:55:24 AM
From: Secret_Agent_Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217649

forget paper...get gold... in other news...i like chess China Announces Signing of Security Pact With Solomon Islands Amid Biden's Attempt to Sabotage Deal sputniknews.com

To: TobagoJack who wrote (186591)	4/19/2022 2:54:26 PM
From: sense	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 217649

As I often will do, I wandered off a bit today, while posting on my trade in KOLD... with the point being necessary, as linking the specific back to context... and seeking to see the context... as others seek to prevent you seeing it... So, whether you care about the gas trade or not... the elements in the context are still relevant to the rest ? The SPY chart surrendered today... much as the gas trade surrendered yesterday... Only in SPY, the surrender that occurred was in the purposeful falsity of posturing a big bolly pinch, suggesting big moves coming... versus the reality of the SPY being pinned to the center band... suspended half way between the December peak at 480 and the February lows at 410. The suddenly smoothed out move today narrowing that perception to a reduced band between 435 and 460... The ROC's at the bottom of the chart say it probably should be down at 420... but, its not... so if the ROCs move higher again... so will SPY... The red Chandelier Exit Short spiking now... will have optimists believe it means "higher"... but, it's likely only justifying the range now is being narrowed... limited to 435 to 460... with "more" awaiting further development of feature in directional indicators... Relating the points in the KOLD post... to SPY... where it "should be" is a parallel function of those many things... and their proper (or not) perception... including... how much money there is now... and how much there will be in, say, 40 to 60 days from now... or, alternatively, how much money there is being perceived now... and how much might be perceived as existing in the next interval of time that is being perceived... And, then, complexity ensues... in differences between perception and reality... and in the esoteric concern with things like velocity... and how it changes under changing perceptions... QE pinned velocity into a vortex... approaching its dimensional limits at zero... under a belief it can't go below 1 since every new dollar added to the pile is a 1. Only, the post release dynamic is not constrained by the act of creation... so a fundamental flaw in the conceptualization (and computation) of velocity focused on the creation event... more than focused on it as a dynamic occurring beyond... The Fed's take on the mystery of Big Bang theory versus an expanding universe hypothesis not withstanding... It is that which the creation of QE sought to exploit by allowing the creation of money (originally intended only for use as a filler for the black holes in banks balance sheets) ... but while disallowing its movement. QE made too much money... and not enough movement... Inflation will make too much money... and too much movement... And, somewhere in the transition between them... the compression factor applied in limiting the people's perception of the extent of the universe... will prove that the varying opinions of physicists... can have no impact in constraining the reality of expansion... is a truth that also applies in finance. But, in physical realty... the logical conundrums of physicists... have no meaningful impact on others... Whether the universe will continue expanding, forever... or may reverse into an opposite event in some billions of years... will not alter your choice of where to eat, and what to have for lunch today. In finance, however, error in perception versus the reality in scope and scale, in function, or in expansion versus contraction... is per se, the difference between per se, and brown bagging it... for the next decade. Remaining is only the parsing of the transition... from too much money and not enough movement, with not enough perception of reality... to a growing perception of the prior lack of perception... paired with sudden recognition that... not this, but that... Perhaps generating some "and the world stood still"... moments... as what is... suddenly is not... and what is not... suddenly is... as means... either the world is spinning the other way than we thought it was... or I'm facing south when I thought I was facing north ? And, all of this I have discussed as the inevitable... as the MOPE of inflation being transitory... can't work... when the reality they want you to believe... isn't reality.... and reality is insistent on reasserting itself... That doesn't answer... what will people do... as "correction" occurs ? And, as the issues are not limited to "I was wrong"... but "you misled me"... the recriminations matter... But, they don't alter the expansion of the universe... only the perception if it... In SPY, today... perception of the extent of the bubble in space narrowed slightly... much as it did in the third week of February, and again in the third week of March... but in a slightly tighter pinch, now... yet, requiring some number of days, still, before any change in perception is likely to result from that rolling reversal in a mean reversion from contraction to expansion...

To: TobagoJack who wrote (186591)	4/19/2022 3:13:56 PM
From: Maurice Winn	4 Recommendations Recommended By 3bar fred woodall kingfisher SirWalterRalegh Read Replies (5) \| Respond to of 217649

It is insane that this is actually seriously supported by so many who don't think they are insane but are. land war in Ukraine between Teams Russia and USA shall likely spill over in a hurry, limited to within the points marking Arctic and Antarctic. We have, right here in SI, many many maybe most who are gung ho for attacking Russia. They think they are intelligent, such as sense, Haim, and many others. They can string sentences together in a linguistically superficially logical way. Their superficial intelligence is part of the problem. Like those in high levels of USA government, they can definitely demonstrate over 80th percentile intelligence and even 99th percentile, which isn't much at all when dealing with 300 million people. There is a trap with intelligence, especially in those who know they are up there, as demonstrated by their Harvard or Yale certificate on their wall, or even just with a crazh-hot SAT result preceding drop-out (Bill Gates for example, among many others). It is increasingly recognised in brain function circles that a position is determined in reptilian amygdala and other subconscious bits and pieces, then fed into cognitive linguistically analytical executive function for verbal output. So their chimpoid limbic responses, built in over millions of years, are why they act. Their linguistic output gives insight to others. Actually intelligent people are able to debate and figure out from that where their own thinking is bung. That's one of the great things about SI = many many people with knowledge and pretty good thinking power. People with fixed chimpoid brains are unable to change their minds in debate because they see the process as part of the actual chimp battle to be won rather than a mechanism to arrive at facts, ideas, corrections and better solutions. So, SKY TV for example cut off my RT channel. Russian "misinformation" is not allowed. I am supposed to entrust my thinking to "the podium of truth". I kid you not. Aotearoa-Zimbabwe government actually said that. Ask Google. Very funny in NZ context but unfunny in China and other totalitarian states. Debating sense, Haim, Greenspirit and many others, the podium of truth mindset rapidly becomes evident. Here we are quite likely to be obliterated a billion a day for a week, and on the 7th day God will rest. Those remaining in the hinterlands of the Amazon and rural backwaters here and there might even think it an improvement. No more New York anthropologists poking and prodding them. Vladimir has carefully over a year or ten or twenty explained his and Russia's thinking and actions. I observe that what they do and have said fit together well. But still Haim wonders why. Many do Putin mind reading and conclude he wants to retake Eastern Europe, dominate the free /sarc world, send soldiers raping women and killing babies, destroying all he sees etc. The solution was plain as day, years before Russia gave up and Putin went and stood before the memorial to long dead Russian soldiers. Because the obvious answer was ignored by WEF Zelensky, Obama, Biden etc, it is plain that continued attack on Russia was the plan. In the end, Russia had no choice but to surrender or go MAD. In hhe game of chicken, Putin has thrown the steering wheel out the window. Your move DementiaJoe10% and co-conspirators. China, India, and others are inclined yo watch each others' backs. Since sense, Greenspirit and hordes of others are going full chimpoid, it seems that full 1812 Overture is set. But this time with atomic bombs, not cannons. And the explosions will be heard in Washington, Londonistan, Los Angeles and thousands of other cities and other targets. Mqurice