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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (70103)9/23/2022 11:28:04 AM
From: Lee Lichterman III1 Recommendation

Recommended By
catou1

  Respond to of 97611
 



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (70103)9/23/2022 12:29:39 PM
From: The Ox4 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
bull_dozer
catou1
towerdog

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Do people realize it takes 6 months or more for rate changes to have an affect on the "trailing" indicators being used to justify more hikes?

For Powell and his team not to acknowledge that their moves may need to pause for a month or 2 to see how these last 4 rate hikes are changing the economic environment seems daffy to this observer.

The punchbowl has been taken away.

I'm somewhat surprised by people pointing to this most recent PMI and saying, see, the work is not done yet.

Oh well. Much more "pain" is coming and it appears to be similar to every event in the past where the FED overshoots by a wide margin at the worst possible time.



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (70103)10/11/2022 11:51:58 AM
From: Rarebird2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Sun Tzu
towerdog

  Respond to of 97611
 
Not true at all. I called the summer rally into August and then went short a couple of sessions after the market peaked and profited on the downside.

Message 33968884

And I did call the June bottom right at the lows and profited handsomely.

Message 33898431

I have done very well this year, trading the swings. After a very good first quarter in value stocks, I had a rough second quarter by overextending my stay in defensive issues. But I rebounded very strongly in Q3, timing the big swings very well. Q4 is yet to be determined.

Just want to set the record straight.