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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Worswick who wrote (2504)	3/4/1998 11:52:00 AM
From: peter michaelson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9980

Worswick: Your outlook is certainly negative. The BJP is going to nuke Pakistan and China. Deflation is coming. Kids are no good anymore. Just kidding. I was terribly negative on the world's prospects in the late 1980's and then we witnessed really astounding technological and entrepreneurial energy, peace (in general) and other good stuff, and incredible rising markets, in which I did not participate. You may be right, but you may be wrong in your outlook. Somehow the world keeps going on, don't ask me how. Peter

To: Worswick who wrote (2504)	3/4/1998 12:21:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9980

Ref: RED ALERT (India-Pakistan) Worswick: Thanks for the Stratfor 'RED ALERT' report on India,insightful! It seems as though 'someone' (don't want to drop any hint or anything but it starts with a 'P') is a bit scared by the 'situation' that is being unraveled in the Sub-continent.<gg> The comment by Hon.Minsiter Ayub Khan,""If there is any misadventure by India then there will be a very swift and telling reply." seems like 'bravado' intended to exasperate the already strained relations with India. As for 'very swift and telling reply', I think India has seen the size of IT before and it ain't much,perhaps the Hon.Khan likes to get his 'honorable ass' kicked a third and last time.<gg> "The Kashmir issue is the single most serious point of contention between India and Pakistan. The two countries have fought two wars over the northern Jammu and Kashmir region since 1947,....." Now in all seriousness, the 'Kashmir Issue' has to be resolved once and for all as it is a tremendous strain on the meger treasuries of both countries and more importantly the price being paid by the people are even greater.I don't know what the answer, obviously these negotiations for the last 50 years haven't done much. If anybody know of a solution to this predicament please feel free to discuss it here, ny and all opinions are welcome in this regard,provocative or not. Ps: I almost forgot to tell you that BJP themselves do not have a majority to form the government,they will need the help of other parties to join them to accomplish this task. So assuming they come to power (looks like they will) with the help of other parties I think the diverging political philosophies of the extraneous factions in their fold would hopefully keep them in check should they have any 'misadventures' in mind. But certainly there will be changes in the government policies pertaining to Kashmir some of which I believe is needed anyway as this situation can not continue indefinitely.