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Technology Stocks : Adaptec (ADPT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jay Lowe who wrote (1890)4/30/1998 10:09:00 PM
From: Bald Man from Mars  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5944
 
If your horizon is < 30 days, then today was really bad.

If your horizon is > 180 days, then today was excellent!
---------------------------------------------------------------

Sorry, dude:
Don't understand your logic...
Isn't 180 days just a string of 6 30-days ...
So why is 30 days bad and 180 days good ...



To: Jay Lowe who wrote (1890)4/30/1998 10:22:00 PM
From: Torben Noerup Nielsen  Respond to of 5944
 
Jay,

>If your horizon is > 180 days, then today was excellent!

I think a lot of large investors - institutional or otherwise - are willing to wait more than 180 days for Adaptec to give them good returns. I suspect there are quite a few still on the sidelines trying to decide when to buy.

Remember that the market as a whole has already looked beyond the next 6 months. If it hadn't, it wouldn't be able to sustain the multiples it is now carrying.

The nice thing about Adaptec is that all the bad things you can imagine have already come to pass. Earnings are bad, but they are in line with what the company has said all through this quarter.

Cheers, Torben



To: Jay Lowe who wrote (1890)4/30/1998 10:34:00 PM
From: blankmind  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5944
 
will october really begin the turnaround? my horizon is greater than 180 days, but such a shrinkage in sales, combined with the additional company purchase will take until next year at the earliest to see any significant turnaround.