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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Oeconomicus who wrote (19242)5/27/1998 2:40:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Does this look strange to you?

quote.yahoo.com^IXIC&d=1d



To: Oeconomicus who wrote (19242)5/27/1998 4:44:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bob; That's a great post ! ,
And as they man the pumps the people relax, even the Captain feels
good about the prospects. But as the ship has settled a little deeper
the pressure of the outside water has gone up, and more water is
flowing in than they are pumping out. How ever in the compartments
they have the pumps running it appears they are indeed making
progress on removing the water. It's those compartments that they
are not looking at that the water is building. All their focus is in
the main engine room..and that's not wise at all.
( as I watch the S&P slip below it's support , then rally ..and
yes the pump ( tick is looking better )..at least we will not sink right away.
ARE shorts are starting to cover..or is it real buying ...I wonder
---------------------

Well being I am a Captain and have watch a real ship sink there is
one thing I would like to say about the Suction
that's written in so many books, and talked about by so many
people..who think if they are near a sinking ship they will get
sucked under.. It's not true there is almost no suction,
and what little there is , is right close to the hull.

There is a lot of blowing out of AIR...and as much of that
air by the time it escapes is compressed ..and as it rises it
expands and many many little air bubbles ( with a few big ones )
fill the water...the water just above the sinking ship can
get so many little air bubbles in it that what would float ,
can not float..( but it's not suction ) You can go right up to
the edge of the air bubbles and be just fine. If you go into
the air bubbles you just sort of sink, or fall.
-------------------

There is one case I know of in the oil field where the was a large natural gas blow out below the rig, as they call in a supply boat for
cement hoping to plug it the boat backed up to the rig on the side
the bubbles were coming up,,,and there were many bubbles too but
they looked harmless enough..as the boat backed into them her
stern went down so fast that there was no time for the Captain to
pull back ahead, the boat just like FELL below the surface, all hands
were lost. There was of course no suction..just gas bubbles, harmless
looking bubbles at that. But a boat is supposed to be Buoyant not
airo dynamic, & you cant float it on top of an air or gas pocket.
------------------------
So much for dispelling the notion that a sinking ship will suck
you under.
just stay out of the air bubbles, but you can
go right up to the edge of them and maybe in the edge if there are
not to many, but then they could fool you if they are small, but
happen to be plentiful.
---------------

Well I see the program trading kicked in ( this pulled the blue
chips out of their tail spin ) THE SUPER CASPS WENT UP FOR THE DAY
that is kind of healthy , but they have been so weak lately that
they really needed to get back some. The rebound in the S&P was
mostly due to program trading in super caps, And only if these
super caps hold tomorrow will I consider the carnage over.
Generally they do signal the reversal, both on the up and down
side..yet for a bit today THEY MADE A LOWER LOW than any LOW we
have had since the start of their down trend in early April,,
so It's sure not safe to say the down trend is over..if any thing
the lower mid day low confirms it is still valid.
We could bounce ..yet I don't think we will bounce above the trading range set in the last two weeks before we visit this place again, and that is what we need to do to break the down trend.

Heck I could've stayed long with MDY, to re buy it now expenses
get me. I can't beat these computer program trading thingies,
and bonds really helped save this market..look out if bond
prices fall now..the critical level is now below 5.75% not
the 6% we did have. This market now depends more than ever on
cheap interest rates. Jim