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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rillinois who wrote (5762)7/8/1998 6:06:00 PM
From: Rillinois  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
As I understand it, Bob defines a bear market as a drop of more than 20%, an intermediate correction as a drop between 10%-20%, and a correction as a pullback of less than 10% in an ongoing bull market.
How would Bob define a prolonged "sideways" market? Does Bob's proprietary timing model try to forecast such a market? If shorting the market or investing in a money market account is the proper action to be taken in a bear market, what would be the proper action to take in a hypothetical "sideways" market? Would Bob recommend continuing to dollar-cost average into the market? For clarification, I'm thinking of a market that nets returns near 0% for approx. 2-5 years or more.

Has Bob ever made any comments regarding such an event? Any comments are welcome.

Best Regards.

Rillinois



To: Rillinois who wrote (5762)7/8/1998 6:11:00 PM
From: MrGreenJeans  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 42834
 
Overvaluation Concerns?

The S&P 500 closed today at 1166.37.

Price Earnings Ratios:

On a 1997 trailing pe basis 1166.37 / $46.80=24.92xs

On a 1998 projected pe basis 1166.37 / $50=23.33xs

On a 1999 projected pe basis 1166.37 / $54(?)=21.60xs

While I am net long equities at approximately 65%, at the moment, and with valuations this high and due to the fact I have a great many profits I wish to keep, (if all goes according to plan), I had to take some more profits this afternoon.

Anyone out there sharing my concerns?

Comments, Constructive Criticism, Feedback...Always Welcome.



To: Rillinois who wrote (5762)7/8/1998 8:54:00 PM
From: marc ultra  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
Thanks for the sentiment numbers

Marc