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To: John F Beule who wrote (402)8/7/1998 12:48:00 PM
From: John F Beule  Respond to of 615
 
Something else to chew on:

160 Billion Global Broadband Market in 2003

WASHINGTON, Aug. 7 /PRNewswire/ -- Broadband services will become a
$160 billion worldwide business in five years as long as effective competition
emerges in global telecom markets. The global Internet explosion plus
businesses' rapidly growing data communications needs are fueling broadband
demand. But competition to incumbent telephone companies drives development
and deployment of broadband networks, and without competitive providers,
broadband needs are not likely to be met.

According to The Strategis Group's latest study, Global Broadband Markets:
1998, the number of businesses using broadband services will more than triple
in the next five years, and the number of households with broadband service
will increase nine-fold. In 2003, the average business using broadband
services will spend about $800 per month for broadband access, while the
average broadband household subscriber will spend $35 a month mostly for high-
speed Internet access.

Business and Residential Global Broadband Service Revenues

1998 - 2003

Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Business 65,755.9 76,249.8 89,505.5 104,379.5 122,370.5 143,117.3

Residential 1,449.4 2,901.0 5,133.1 8,035.1 12,219.4 18,056.4

Revenue (US$ Millions)

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

"Now is the time for manufacturers to take advantage of broadband end-user
equipment opportunities," says Jonathan R. Tarlin, Senior Vice President of
International Telecommunications at The Strategis Group. The study forecasts a
$20 billion broadband end-user equipment market over the next five years
consisting mostly of DSL modems and cable modems.

Global Equipment Sales Revenue (millions US$), Annual and Cumulative

1998 - 2003

Year 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Annual 528 1486 2432 3447 5142 8106

Cumulative 528 2015 4446 7893 13035 21141

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

The U.S. will continue to lead the world in adopting broadband services
and technologies. The Strategis Group's broadband forecasting model, detailed
in Global Broadband Markets: 1998, suggests that North America will have 45%
of global broadband service revenues in 2003, while Europe captures over one-
quarter of global broadband service revenues, and the Asia-Pacific region
generates another quarter.

Share Of World Broadband Service Revenues By Region

World data represents top 39 broadband markets.

Latin America Asia-Pacific Europe North America

4% 24% 27% 45%

Source: The Strategis Group, Inc.

Businesses Dominate Broadband Service Revenues

For operators and carriers, business markets are the primary revenue
generators. The Strategis Group expects business sectors to generate nearly
90% of worldwide broadband service revenue. For equipment manufacturers,
however, residential broadband markets represent a huge market potential
because more than twice as many households as business firms will be using
broadband services. The vast majority of residential broadband equipment sales
will be in the form of high-speed modems.

The Strategis Group, an edr company -- with offices in Washington, D.C.,
London, and Singapore -- publishes in-depth market research reports and
provides customized consulting services to the cable TV, satellite, Internet,
broadband, and wireless communications industries. The Strategis Group's
market studies, valuations, and strategic planning projects provide crucial
information to communications industry leaders throughout the world. Please
contact Elizabeth Harr-Bricksin at 202/530-7500 (voice), 202/530-7550 (fax),
ebricksin@strategisgroup.com or Jonathan Tarlin at 202/530/7541 (voice),
jtarlin@strategisgroup.com or www.strategisgroup.com for more information.

SOURCE The Strategis Group

CO: The Strategis Group

ST: District of Columbia

IN: TLS

SU: ECO

08/07/98 11:59 EDT prnewswire.com



To: John F Beule who wrote (402)8/7/1998 1:00:00 PM
From: John F. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 615
 
John:

Thanks I hope ADSL doesn't take too big a piece of the pie. Speaking of ADSL/xdsl and therefore NextLevel Ltd. How much of that does a shareholder of GIC get when and if it is spun off. Valued at $9.00 per share it would be like a 1 for 3 or 4 distribution? Or do you think GIC will wait until it worth more before spinning it off?

JFD