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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (6732)8/18/1998 9:35:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
DSP Chip Market to Grow 20% in Spite of Industry Slide; New report details numerous new markets for DSP that will support long-term growth
08:02 a.m. Aug 18, 1998 Eastern

TEMPE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--August 18, 1998--The market for programmable DSP chips will grow 20% in 1998 to the $3.9 billion level, according to a new report published by Forward Concepts, the leading DSP market research firm, based here. The positive growth of DSPs in a chip market that will experience negative overall growth this year is principally because of the healthy market for digital wireless communications which continues to grow well on a worldwide basis, according to the report. Two other key DSP markets, disk drive controllers and modems are restrained by soft pricing, while the smaller audio and control markets are experiencing moderate growth.

The new report, "DSP Strategies 2002," forecasts a healthier 32% growth for programmable DSP chips in 1999, due not only on a healthier Asian economy, but through numerous new DSP markets which are beginning to emerge, including digital cameras, satellite phones, smart antennas, voice over IP, AC motor control and even digital TV. The DSP market is forecast to grow at a 33% compound rate to the $13.4 billion level in 2002.

The report covers not only the programmable DSP chip market, but also details function-specific DSPs which are not programmable, like modem chips, PCI audio chips, MPEG decoders, ADSL, HDSL and cable modems, set top boxes, global positioning system chips, digital hearing aids, AC'97 controllers, and much more. According to Will Strauss, president of Forward Concepts and principal author of the report, "The function-specific DSP market is actually the bigger market, estimated to grow 30% in 1998 to the $6-billion level. However, the market is more diffuse, with more than 80 IC houses supplying one or more chips to this segment. By 2002, we expect that embedded MPEG-based digital TVs, set-top boxes, DVD players, etc. will be the dominant function-specific markets, even though a dozen more will also be significant."

Building-block chips, like FPGAs and algorithm-specific chips are also covered as are conventional MPUs and media processors employed for DSP functions. The report forecasts more than 45 different markets driven by DSP technology, and includes a detailed econometric analysis of worldwide electronics production by region including IC content and DSP contribution. As a reference guide, the report includes a chapter on modulation basics, and a detailed glossary of DSP, communication and multimedia terms in laymen's language and a listing of 1,075 companies and their involvement in DSP.

The fully-indexed 600-page report is profusely illustrated with more than 200 figures and 50 tables. The report is specially priced at $3,850.00 until September 1, 1998. After that date the price will be $4,350.00. Additional copies are available at moderate charge. A free brochure is available from Forward Concepts (Tel: 602-968-3759, Fax: 602-968-7145) and details, with table of contents, are on the company's web page at: fwdconcepts.com.

Copyright 1998, Business Wire

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To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (6732)8/18/1998 9:51:00 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
Katherine,

is this a hint that DRAM supply is still exceeding demand despite the round of cut backs and shut downs?

Ramsey

TOKYO (Nikkei)-Toshiba Corp. will reduce production of its mainline
64-megabit DRAMs, company sources said Tuesday.

The electronics maker will scale back the proportion of dynamic
memories to 50% of its total memory chip output, from 80% at present.

Resources devoted to DRAM production will be reallocated to
higher-margin products such as flash memory to raise profit.

Toshiba initially planned to make 8 million 64M DRAMs in fiscal 1998,
but has trimmed that target to 7 million.

In fiscal 1997, its memory production accounted for 80% (200 billion
yen ) of overall chip production worth 250 billion yen.

By fiscal 2000, DRAM production will fall to half of an overall chip
production target value of 300 billion yen.

Toshiba hopes to make up for the cut in DRAM production by producing
more high-density flash memories. From 1999, the firm will make 64M
flash memories at its Yokkaichi plant and at a plant in Virginia built
jointly with International Business Machines Corp.

Output of flash memory chips is expected to grow to 3 million by fiscal
2000, at an estimated investment cost of 20 billion yen.

(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Wednesday morning edition)



To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (6732)8/18/1998 9:58:00 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10921
 
Katherine,

per the btb article,

Three-month average bookings decreased in July 1998 to $757 million.

I assume the above means a moving 3 month average and not average for three months? AMAT reported that new orders were $608M last qtr. So AMAT is about 25% of the entire semi eq sector? Am I missing something?

Ramsey



To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (6732)8/18/1998 10:15:00 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10921
 
Thanks for the link. I notice that the book-to-bill comes out "preliminary," is "revised" one month later, and is again revised on the third month to make it "final."

Are there historical records on how much the book-to-bill has been changed during these revisions? Is there a good rule of thumb regarding the typical amount of change between the "preliminary" number and the "final" number?

Thanks,

I2



To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (6732)8/19/1998 12:38:00 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10921
 
No, I'm not buying NOW... I've been selling. I'm just saying, when the Yen was crashing and things looked the worst the stocks bottomed out. People are now talking about the bottom which means thats probably where we're headed next!

DAK