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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (24)	9/2/1998 3:26:00 PM
From: Curbstone	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10656

Oil? Isn't there a paradigm shift approaching as hydrogen fuel cells become viable? Oil companies may use their muscle to buy out or adopt their own HFC technologies but there is (?) a shift coming and oil drilling and refining companies will be shaken at some level. It may be too soon to use a coal v. crude oil analogy, but it would be interesting (and perhaps profitable) to see how the coal industry responded to the advent of crude oil. Mike ? How can something be the number one hot subject with only 24 posts?

To: Sun Tzu who wrote (24)	9/2/1998 3:27:00 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 10656

Ooops! And I forgot to mention, in the spirit of this forum, along with your recommendations, a suggested strategy on minimizing the risks and maximizing the gains would be highly appreciated. In case of MU for example, just looking at its actions in the past 2 months tells me that investing in it is like making love to a porcupine; you have to do it very carefully. So having a method is a must. ST

To: Sun Tzu who wrote (24)	9/2/1998 6:13:00 PM
From: Sidney Reilly	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10656

I thought a recession was several quarters in a row of negative economic growth and a depression was some more quarters of negative growth added to that. We have had several recessions since the 1930's depression but no more depressions. I don't think we are headed for depression. One reason is the news media is hyping the don't panic because the market will come back line every time the market dives. So does Louis on Wall Street Week! The consumer confidence is the key to the whole thing. They know it and are going to say whatever they have to, true or not, to keep everyone from stampeding to the exits. The stampede to the exits is what will bring us into depression. When people sell at a 50-60-70% loss of their retirement they will stop buying everything and the economy will shrink drastically. But when investor's don't panic sell and stay in a potential disaster is averted and it becomes a "healthy" correction. And we are all better off for it.