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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DLL who wrote (6554)1/4/1999 12:33:00 AM
From: RFH  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18928
 
Dear DLL, I just looked at a chart of SBUX, and feel that this would have been a very difficult stock to manage with AIM as a first timer. You would have been buying and buying from July to September, possibly busting your cash reserve, and hopefully not busting an artery at the same time. However, had you persevered, you would have been rewarded big time by the huge advance from July to the present. It reminds me of one of my AIM investments, IIT. You can see the similarities by checking out the second image at:
elnet.com
Here we see the stock going from 19 3/8 all the way down to 4 5/8. By the time it bottomed, I was holding 2,915 shares after an initial investment of just 600 shares (when I turned it into an AIM account). SBUX only declined by about 50% from its highs (around 59 to 28). However, one can not predict what will happen in the future with SBUX, as I am just judging the suitability by its past performance. 20/20 hindsight, of course. Take a look at a chart of SUGN as an AIM candidate. If I had some spare cash, I would seriously consider this one.

Just my 2 cents.

Sincerley,
RFH



To: DLL who wrote (6554)1/4/1999 6:00:00 PM
From: Dataminer1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18928
 
Hello DLL,

Nice to see new faces in here :)

I took a minute and ran SBUX through our PCA/AIM system for the period from 12/30/96 to 12/28/98 (downloaded from YAHOO!)

Beginning price $30
Ending price $56.125

Results using 300 shares:

PCA/AIM with 50% cash reserve:
$10,326 profit

Buy/Hold $ 7,838 profit

PCA/AIM with 0 beginning cash reserve:
$9,778 profit

Buy/Hold $7,838 profit

It seems that AIM would have done a fairly decent job managing SBUX over the past 2 years.

Regards,
Bill

ps. all the other "settings" were left on default