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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GS_Wall Street who wrote (21658)1/4/1999 4:29:00 PM
From: MeDroogies  Respond to of 213173
 
Not likely. Like me, they're probably in for the long haul as they felt that AAPL was very undervalued when they bought anyway. With the earnings runup, most of us buyers (21 price) think it's still undervalued.



To: GS_Wall Street who wrote (21658)1/4/1999 5:03:00 PM
From: HerbVic  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213173
 
>>Hey Marc why must all sellers be shorts? Can't anyone who bought
the stock in the 20's and 30'2 be large seller here? Not everyone
holds out for that last 1/8.
<<

I'm sure Marc will answer your question, but I have to comment.

First, no one said that all sellers are shorts. However, if you reverse a long position, then you are essentially shorting psychologically if not technically.

Second, the timing for profit taking is completely contraindicated by events. Normal profit taking may not always squeeze the last 1/8 out of a position, but even short term traders usually wait for the next peak with bullish events less than 24 hours away. With an intraday high of 42 1/4 on no news, and an analyst's unabashed recommendation on CNBC during the middle of a sell down, and event driven bullish news soon to be eminent, the level of selling we experienced must be due to some influence other than fundamentals.

It's my contention that the sell down was generated, not spontaneous. It does not take much to spook investors into taking profits. AAPL does not have continuous intraday volume. There are plenty of opportunities to spark sell offs if MMs have the motivation. With the recent elevation of the short interest due to the false assumption of inventory stuffing, they appear to have the motivation.

There will always be a battle going on in any stock headed up after a large short position has been taken. The short interest in AAPL is well documented. It has been elevated for some time and is over due for a "short squeeze." Our comments are in reference to this battle over AAPL's price, not to the background level of normal buying and selling on fundamentals or technical indications.

HerbVic



To: GS_Wall Street who wrote (21658)1/4/1999 5:15:00 PM
From: Golden Bear  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 213173
 
Greg, glad you asked: most market makers are not placing sell orders from Shorts, rather they are placing regular sell (and buy) orders from individuals like you and me. But there are a handful of market makers who I believe primarily represent one or two individuals or funds, and as of late have been selling short a huge volume of AAPL shares. Watching their trading behavior on Level II for the last 2 weeks, it is very obvious what they are doing, especially on those recent light trading days e.g. 3 million shares traded. For example, INCA will display the largest ASK volume on the sell side, accepting orders until the buying volume softens and the bid price drops a 16th. Then INCA will immediately drop the ASK price by a 16th and will wait until other market makers follow suit, before taking a back seat. At some point, INCA will jump to the BID and will buy-back the shorted shares at the lower price until the shares from the other MMs have been bought up. It is my opinion that they use "preferencing" in choosing whose shares to buy. Then they leave the BID and jump back to the ASK to keep it from going up. These parties have been the most active and aggressive traders by far. This is largely why the spread has been 1/16 for most of the last month. This is an unusually tight spread for NASDAQ traded securities and it suggests that there is some serious stock activity going on i.e. the stock is being accumulated, distributed, or manipulated.

Greg, I hope I didn't imply all the sellers were shorts. In deed, it is a Short's objective to act as a catalyst, scaring lots of other investors into selling their shares, in order for the Shorts to buy-up those shares at cheaper prices. And believe me, INCA and a few others have been doing lot's of buying at the end of each trading day since christmas.

Just my opinion,

Marc D