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To: Rajiv who wrote (12)1/27/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: xcr600  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 489
 
I've been searching for a tentative ipo date, but couldn't find anything. Is there a time from that has to be met after the initial filing of registration statement?

tia,

x



To: Rajiv who wrote (12)1/28/1999 12:32:00 AM
From: peter michaelson  Respond to of 489
 
Rajiv, the latest amended S-1 shows all 10 million Microsoft shares coming out of the 17 million U.S. shares.

I imagine they could easily change the distribution between Europe and U.S. on short notice.

Peter



To: Rajiv who wrote (12)1/28/1999 1:00:00 AM
From: steve host  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 489
 
Sounds like the float in the US will be minimal -should be a hot IPO



To: Rajiv who wrote (12)1/29/1999 8:46:00 AM
From: Rajiv  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 489
 
Here are my estimates....

Fair value of UIHIA excluding the UPC part - $15.

UIHIA owns 77 million shares of UPC.
The IPO price for the UPC shares - 28 to 31.

# of outstanding shares for UIHIA (on a diluted basis ) - 42 million

The market value of the UPC shares held by UIHIA might not get reflected
in UIHIA as there will probably be a discount.

Discount Factor (D) can depend on the hype, inability of UIHIA to ever sell
all shares without causing UPC share price to crash, tax considerations, etc.

Value added to UIHIA = (UPC share price) * (77/42) * D
Fair value for UIHIA's shares = above + $15

The following table shows how UIHIA might trade with respect to UPC's
post IPO trading (for various discount levels)

UPC share price -->
D
35 40 45 50 55 60

0.6 53.5 59 64.5 70 75.5 81
0.7 60 66 73 79 85.5 92
0.8 66 73.5 81 88 95.5 103
0.9 73 81 89 97.5 106 114

IMO, the conservative estimate - 53 (UPC at 35, D of 0.6)
IMO, the most optimistic estimate - 103 (UPC at 60, D of 0.8)

Comments ?

Regards.
Rajiv