To: SirVinny who wrote (98585 ) 2/13/1999 4:23:00 PM From: jbn3 Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 176387
I lost thousands of dollars today simply because a so-called wall street analyst "THINKS" Dell will only post sales of $5.2 billion, $300 million short of expected. Vince, hmmmmmm.... Pardon me, but your naivete is showing. Both in regards to the market and in regards to the law. Anyone who is investing in equities needs to understand, first and foremost, that you have no guarantee , except that the price WILL fluctuate. Stock prices go up AND they go down. If you're good or lucky, they will move the direction you want in the equities you want. DELL is considered a tech stock. Tech stocks have a well-earned reputation for greater potential profit .... as well as for greater risk. And surprise.... analyst recommendations DO contribute to price fluctuations and movements. A volatile and highly valued stock such as DELL is much more susceptible to analyst opinions, which is one reason that DELL management holds periodic meetings with the analyst community to help guide expectations, and avoid the most severe fluctuations (usually caused by unpleasant surprises). Furthermore, are you aware that there are different kinds of analysts? Assume that you have two analyst recommendations on stock XYZ, one from an analyst who works for a major brokerage which also makes a market in and has a large position in XYZ, and the other from an analyst who has no connection to a market maker or specialist actually trading XYZ. If both recommendations are identical, you have no problem. If they differ, do you tend to trust the analyst who has a vested interest in moving the stock in one direction (or who works for a firm which does), or the analyst who has none? This is not intended to impugn all analysts, merely to point out the basic conflict of interest problem that many analysts face daily in making their reports. So do your homework: know the stock; learn which analysts follow your stock, which are independent, which are affiliated and in what ways, and what kind of track records they have, then you can make informed decisions on analyst up- and downgrades. Make the analyst work for you. If you think that the last downgrades are accurate, then you sell. If you think they are wrong, then you grab the chance to buy the stock or increase your position at a significant discount. But, puh...leeze, don't shout "Class Action" because some analyst downgraded your favorite stock. Did you start a class action over the SEA collapse? over the Russian default? Over the Brazilian economic woes? Whom did you sue? Just trying to help. DELLish, 3.