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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (410)2/16/1999 4:12:00 PM
From: Stuart C Hall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10744
 
Hi Sun,

On what basis are you shorting CMGI?

The Barron's article? LCOS merger?

CMGI has the one thing most Internuts don't and the one thing the market is starting to appreciate: earnings. What PE do you think the market is going to settle on for a stock with the potential of CMGI?

I never saw the Barron's article so I can't comment on it. I think the LCOS/USAI deal is a temporary hindrance. They'll have a vote on it in less than 90 days.

I'd be very interested to hear your basis for the short position as well as goals etc. I am long CMGI through 1999 but would like to know what indicators you are following.

Thanks,
Stuart



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (410)2/16/1999 4:13:00 PM
From: joel3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10744
 
The difficulties of shorting...

(DAYTRADER): The analysts at Briefing.com can not remember a more difficult time to be a short-seller. The biggest headache shorts have faced has been the inability to borrow shares from their brokers. Over the past several months, a number of major firms have prevented clients from shorting many of the most volatile Internet names by claiming that there was no paper available to be borrowed. However, in most cases, the short interest in these stocks has been on the decline, while the float has increased substantially (as company insiders have sold into rallies). Based on these two factors, alone, availability of these stocks should be greater than at any point in recent memory. Firms also making life difficult for shorts by raising maintenance requirements, reducing investors' ability to wait out rallies in the stocks. Most frustrating of the recent developments in the short-seller's universe has been the complete abandonment of fundamental analysis by investors. This trend is particularly evident in the Internet arena, where investors perceive any news, outside of a bankruptcy filing, as a positive. Take shares of Egghead.com (EGGS) for example. The stock jumped 19% this morning after company announced it would become a premier computer software merchant on Microsoft's MSN Shopping. Sure, EGGS did not spell out that it would have to pay big bucks to be affiliated with MSN, but anyone with a modicum of common sense could have come to that conclusion on their own. The rally in EGGS shares today tells management that it can spend as much money as it wishes without revealing the amount, as long as the dollars are being paid out to a company with a household name. Moreover, the action serves as another warning to short-sellers that the old rules of shorting stocks simply don't apply anymore. Sure, these stocks will eventually break. But by the time the momentum in Internet stocks completely reverses to the downside, short-sellers may either be too broke or gun shy to participate.