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To: jim kelley who wrote (112731)3/26/1999 3:47:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Compaq's wavering strategies-They want to do it and they don't.

Jim:

Looks like that emulating Dell bit is not working out for Compaq,oh well what ya going to do?<g>
==================================

Compaq to revamp Prosignia strategy

By Michael Kanellos
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
March 26, 1999, 11:35 a.m. PT

Compaq will roll out a new look for its Prosignia computer line next Tuesday amid concerns that its direct sales approach isn't working as well as expected.

Compaq Computer chief executive Eckhard Pfeiffer will preside over a press conference next Tuesday in New York in which the computing giant is expected to show off new Prosignia notebooks and discuss changes to its sales strategy for the Prosignia line, which is geared toward small- to medium-sized businesses and mostly sold directly by Compaq over the Web.

The presentation will likely be a mix of upbeat news and serious questions. Compaq is expected to announce that it will start selling Prosignia notebooks based around processors from AMD, said sources. To date, AMD processors have largely been used in consumer computers. Inclusion in the Prosignia line will mean that AMD has cracked the business computer market, which is both larger and generally more profitable.

Compaq, however, is also expected to discuss changes in its sales strategy for the Prosignia, including a program to better entice its dealers to sell Prosignias. This will likely dredge up the debate that has dogged Compaq for a year: Can a company sell computers directly and through dealers?

The Prosignia PC line, released last year, was the basis for Compaq's entry into direct sales. Although dealers can participate in Prosignia sales, most get sold directly through Compaq's site, according to Compaq sources. Along with Prosignia, Compaq has also inched toward making it easier for customers to buy its consumer Presario computers and its corporate Deskpro models through its Web site.

These moves angered Compaq resellers. To ease the relationship with its dealers, Compaq created a program which awards dealers incentives for participating in sales that get sold by Compaq directly, according to Kenny Kurtzman, vice president of Compaq.com and the person who spearheaded Compaq's direct sales push.

In January, Compaq called the Prosignia line a success, stating that the company was selling more than $1 million worth of Prosignias a day across its Web site.

Then, in late February, Compaq said that sales to medium-sized businesses, the target audience for the Prosignia line, were below expectations for the first quarter. Sales to large companies and consumers were on track, said a company spokesman, but the medium-sized segment lagged.

Striking a balance between these new channels of distribution has not been easy. In February, Compaq told Internet resellers that they were no longer authorized to sell Presario computers for 60 days. The halt came, said sources, because conflicts were erupting between Compaq's standard store retailers, and Web resellers which were undercutting stores by selling at cost on the Internet.

"They want to do it [selling both ways], and they don't. I would think of the Prosignia as a trial balloon," said Roger Kay, an analyst at International Data Corporation. Selling computers directly can cut costs, and Compaq has indicated it wants to do more business directly. However, disruptions in the current sales structure could hurt the company drastically. If botched, a shift to direct sales could put a dent in sales for two to three quarters.

"They feel like they can't afford a revenue hit given the expectations of Wall Street," he added. "It could be a long recovery cycle, on the scale of absorbing Digital."

The presentation will take place at the St. Regis Hotel in New York at 7 a.m. PT on Tuesday.

(Reuters contributed to this report.)



To: jim kelley who wrote (112731)3/26/1999 5:00:00 PM
From: rudedog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Jim -
Elevated inventory levels are obviously different than stuffing, and more consistent with what I think is going on at CPQ. If they were stuffing, inventory levels would be down, not up, since CPQ does not own the channel inventory. So I would say that this is clearly NOT evidence of stuffing.

I think what has been happening is that CPQ set "full power" production geared to provide breathing room for the PIII launch, essentially placing a bet on PIII demand. We will have to wait a few weeks to see if they won or lost that bet.



To: jim kelley who wrote (112731)3/26/1999 5:14:00 PM
From: jim kelley  Respond to of 176387
 
Dog,

Once again I disagree with your interpretation of the facts as they are known. What you are offering as an interpretation is definitely not pearls.....

I may interpret CPQ's elevated inventory levels as evidence of overproduction and channel stuffing. Why? Because the distributors channels are also stuffed with old Q4 inventory. I think CPQ intended to stuff less this Q4 but got caught in January and February by a slowdown in certain PC market segments. this is shown in the inventory form the channels SEC reports. The net effect could be worse than last year. We will have to see. But it is hard to move new product into channels which are already stuffed with old product unless significant incentives are offered the channels. Now we have seen that CPQ is offering significant incentives to the channel.

CPQ must invest in the new processors put out by INTC this quarter in order to maintain new product momentum. Unfortunately there was a whole lot of K6 cheepo machines in the channels. This explains the inventory reduction sales for the last two months in my area of the world.

JK