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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Sphar who wrote (476)3/28/1999 7:23:00 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
I fully expect a ground war with the Alliance invading Serbia proper.

I doubt it. That would be an operation as large, complex, and expensive as Desert Storm, in some ways more so, as amphibious operations would be required. That kind of deployment will take months, and it hasn't even started.

Kuwait had oil. What does Kosovo or Serbia have that we need?

This is why starting the bombing was not too bright, IMO (totally aside from the question of right or wrong). It's never a good idea to start something you aren't prepared to finish. All Milosevic has to do is disperse his military assets and wait it out. Even after an extended bombing campaign he will still have enough force to suppress the Kosovars. If he doesn't give in, the bombing will eventually stop; he knows that the Russians will agitate in the UN on his behalf, and that European commitment will waver. He also knows that NATO will not be able to attack non-military targets; it will be politically unacceptable. If the bombing stops, he wins. All he has to do is be stubborn, one thing we know he can do.

Seems a most impractical situation, without much potential for a positive outcome.



To: Michael Sphar who wrote (476)3/28/1999 11:12:00 PM
From: DeplorableIrredeemableRedneck  Respond to of 17770
 
>I would also forecast that Mr. Milosovec will end up tried and convicted for war crimes against humanity. If he hasn't figured this all out by now, he is not a very competent commander-in-chief, and needs some quick education in military strategy<

Very well said and concurred to wholeheartedly!



To: Michael Sphar who wrote (476)3/28/1999 11:58:00 PM
From: exhon2004  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
Michael:

re >>I fully expect a ground war with the Alliance invading Serbia proper.<<

Do you support such an action? If so do you still think it's a good idea if the Russians come to Belgrade's defense? Nato calculated it needed 200,000 troops to subdue the Serbs. Currently Nato has maybe 15-20,000 involved there in peacekeeping roles in Macedonia and Bosnia.

Regards,

Greg