To: J.T. who wrote (62 ) 6/10/1999 11:36:00 AM From: J.T. Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 19219
MARKET COMMENTARY , June 10, 1999 Mid-Morning UpdateIS THE CORRECTION FOR REAL? I will highlight several factors that need close attention NOW: 1) I have noted full well the INREASING BOND YIELDS backing up repeatedly and TWO CLOSES ABOVE 6% YIELD AND THE CORRECTION INTENSIFIES . Today is day 2 and we sit at a morning yield of 6.06%. Unless we get a huge reversal and close back below 6%, MARKET IS HEADED LOWER. 2) VIX INDEX is popping up much higher this morning. This index is an early indicator of market trend changes. We have established two day support at 23.45 and 23.47 June 4 and June 7. Two day close below this level and market reverses back up. Resistance is at 28.70. TWO CLOSES ABOVE 29.66 AND THIS CORRECTION ACCELERATES DRAMATICALLY. We are at 26 interday right now. 3)BKX gapped down this morning on the open from yesterday's close. We are now at 824 and near the lows of the day. First close below 822.67 and we are on High Alert Status. Second close below this level drives another nail in nirvana bull argument to new highs now and commencement of intensified correction. 4)DOW pulls round trip up to 10,909 in mesmerizing fashion back down to current levels and 10,620. I HAVE HIGHLIGHTED FULL WELL TWO CLOSES ABOVE 10,887 AND WE GO LONG. THIS DID NOT HAPPEN. I simply did not concentrate on other indices because I wanted to establish Market Index Laboratory. This will be completed after close tonight. A house (new thread) must be built on firm foundation and not on sand and fork tongues and hence the whole thrust of this thread is built on foundation of clear concise Market Indices. Plain as day with no need for astrological reads. A CLOSE BELOW 10,660 AND WE ARE ON HIGH ALERT AS THIS IS 50% RETRACEMENT FROM 10,945 INTRADAY HIGH ON SET ON JUNE 7 . Two closes below this level and and selling correction accelerates to test and potential blow through important 10,519. Two closes below 10,519 and market will test 10,200. 5) Lastly, Jerry Favors is extremely bullish and this is the kiss of death for bulls as he is ultimate contrary indicator. <ggg> I am no fan of Favors and his wizard predictions. This is a brief synopsis and I assure you I am only sharpening my skills like lumberjack sharpens his ax. Best, J.T,