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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
10809 190 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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10793Please do share your findings and opinions with the rest of us here.Sun Tzu-February 26
10792I only have BFLY.. Have yet to check the numbers reported but not too shabby.. Sultan-February 26
10791The stars of today are BFLY and SEZL. I'm sure at least one of them is makinSun Tzu2February 26
10790For those of you curious what my invention is about: The architecture I’m patenSun Tzu5February 25
10789[X] Crypto Explained pic.twitter.com/7BUKFT53Uo— Barchart (@Barchart) FebruarDinoNavarre5February 25
10788Cool.... [X] ASML's EUV machine produces light by firing 100,000 molten tin drDinoNavarre1February 25
10787China allows universities to accept patent applications in lieu of Ph.D. dissertSun Tzu2February 25
10786AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript finance.Sultan1February 24
10785Right.. I was impressed with CEO's detailed handle on various projects.. HSultan2February 24
10784Sultan, Thank you for posting that. It was a worthwhile watch/listen. The lastsixty2nds1February 24
10783VIR I took a look at the Monthly since inception. Your target, $14-$19 looks rsixty2nds1February 24
10782SGMT You might be correct. Using a weekly and IMO today's change in characsixty2nds-February 24
10781BTW, I expect VIR to go to 14 - 19 area. So plenty of upside is ahead.Sun Tzu-February 24
10780Possibly. But you really want to see it hold above 7 to confirm your thinking.Sun Tzu-February 24
10779SGMT... I'm thinking The Bottom is in... I switched gears cancelling a buy sixty2nds-February 24
10778Vir Biotechnology(VIR) shares were 58% higher pre-bell Tuesday after the companySun Tzu-February 24
10777BMO Global Metals, Mining & Critical Minerals Conference equinoxgold.coSultan1February 24
10776Huh! I just took peak at CNBC top NDX movers. The up column is between 2% - 5%,Sun Tzu1February 23
10775Equinox Gold Maintained at Buy at Stifel Canada Following Q4 Results; Price TargSultan-February 22
10774I always admired that the US was the only country in the world that used first tSun Tzu-February 21
10773SGMT... I increased the SGMT Position to 25% of regular Position Size. This is sixty2nds-February 19
10772Equinox Gold link to CC/QnA. It is a good time wrt to EQX to sit still... IF Yosixty2nds-February 19
10771Equinox Gold Delivers Transformational Year with Strategic Merger, Record ProducSultan1February 18
10770BUR... Turned out to be a BUR under my saddle. I booked a 29% loss this morninsixty2nds-February 17
10769Maybe worth your while to look into: [graphic]Sun Tzu-February 17
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