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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
60007Interesting decision on the PCI claims suits post-Katrina....appears to fall in patron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
60006Oh, OK, sorry I misread the following as supporting evidence for what you were sTradelite8/15/2006
60005When your landlord is a cat nymag.comLes H8/15/2006
60004<b>You MIGHT be right in some respects, but (1) your focus seems to be on Incitatus8/15/2006
60003SoCal home sales at nine year low; prices down: latimes.compatron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
6000260,000? We're almost up to the housing inventory in Phoenix!<G/NG> azpatron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
60001<<The mindless refrain that "everything will be fine as long as everyTradelite8/15/2006
60000Do GRUB 60,000 now.ild8/15/2006
59999Yes, that is correct. I'm pretty sure DataQuick uses county record and thosCalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59998As I understand DataQuick analyses county title transfer records. So July numberild8/15/2006
59997<i>Your homie positions are getting to be Patronesque, while mine are shriorkrious8/15/2006
59996Your homie positions are getting to be Patronesque, while mine are shriveling...patron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
59995What the hell. Added to LEN at 43.84.orkrious8/15/2006
59994Southland home sales slowest in nine years; price gains lower August 15, 2006 dqCalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59993ROFLOL. Housing is in a hard landing - SPLAT! Those that are hoping for a softCalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59992Is that HMI chart what they call a "soft landing"?J. P.8/15/2006
59991Here is a chart of the HMI. There is still a good way to go on the downside to CalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59990>>>Just wondering if there is an easy way to track homebuilder insider ChanceIs8/15/2006
59989<b>The implication of the media is that people are buying these homes to fIncitatus8/15/2006
59988I've had a tremendous couple of weeks ever since that day when they all spikTravis_Bickle8/15/2006
59987Is anyone actually making money TRADING the homies lately, long or short? SeemsThink4Yourself8/15/2006
59986Just added KBH another serving of KBH to the PF at 41.49.orkrious8/15/2006
59985Great catch, I totally missed that.Travis_Bickle8/15/2006
59984Given that the bounce in the homies is now roughly a month old, I just added to orkrious8/15/2006
59983"The biggest price drops in percentage terms were in Danville, Ill., where bentway8/15/2006
59982I don't think you read the WCI PR correctly, JMP also lowered its 2007 foretdl41388/15/2006
59981'Reacting to what they perceive as increasing consumer uncertainty regardingJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59980'May last 2-3 weeks but be quite severe do to high short interest in most ofJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59979>>are we there now?<< No, I think they can still get to single digipatron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
59978PPI drop not believable The core PPI for finished goods fell 0.3% in July, giviLes H8/15/2006
59977I believe RE is more local and much more prone to going sideways to up. Many of John Vosilla8/15/2006
59976From a trading standpoint, those NAHB numbers have to reach a point where they cdamainman8/15/2006
59975thanks for that link... wow, look at it YOY....cut in halfMulhollandDrive8/15/2006
59974For numerologists: In July 1990, the NAHB Index dropped to 32 (the current levelCalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59973CORS and LEN first to go red on my screen. Waiting to jump on FED for another shSchnullie8/15/2006
59972Yeah, the damage was contained so far.....really a stinker of a report, too....patron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
59971No selling in the homies after the NAHB report. If they hold we may see short codamainman8/15/2006
59970Chancels, Cheers. Just wondering if there is an easy way to track homebuilder Taikun8/15/2006
59969I believe I saw a graph several years ago showing the price of homes overlaid wiProud_Infidel8/15/2006
59968*DJ US NAHB August Housing Index 32 Vs 39 In July *DJ US Homebuilders' OutPaul Kern8/15/2006
59967Details on the WCI Upgrade (for some reason I can't cut and paste from this Travis_Bickle8/15/2006
59966Link for everyonehttp://www.nahb.org/generic.aspx?sectionID=134&genericContedamainman8/15/2006
59965U.S. AUG. HOME BUILDERS INDEX PLUNGES 7 POINTS TO 32Travis_Bickle8/15/2006
59964I don't have a position in NEW, but their model is more or less the same as patron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
59963hey Mish, is that a picture of your house in the background? <gggg>Ramsey Su8/15/2006
59962BHS -- According to the online contract info, I should be able to short this at Al_Tannr8/15/2006
59961In a separate survey of price changes in 151 metropolitan areas, the Realtors remishedlo8/15/2006
59960I saw that - falls in price are in unexpected locations. And especially DanvilleMoominoid8/15/2006
59959I'd welcome a pop in the builders right now....my only exposure is a few XHBpatron_anejo_por_favor8/15/2006
59958Alan, BHS has not been shortable for quite a while, no shares available (for thRamsey Su8/15/2006
59957Here is the interesting part from the report on declining home sales, <i>pheilman_8/15/2006
59956Majority of States Report Declines in Home Sales I'm not a statistician, busaveslivesbyday8/15/2006
59955Majority of States Report Declines in Home Sales, Including Former Boom Areas TSchnullie8/15/2006
59954NAR Report Shows Home Prices Cooling In Second Quarter DOW JONES NEWSWIRES AuguChanceIs8/15/2006
59953There is a very good reason CNBC has a specific disclaimer about Cramer's coThink4Yourself8/15/2006
59952Cramer pumped the builders hard from early '05 through Mar '06 or so. RSchnullie8/15/2006
59951Speaking of fretting, my fret of the day is that if we don't get materially damainman8/15/2006
59950Suspect they mean that WCI will get to $0 quicker than the other builders.Think4Yourself8/15/2006
59949<I>OK, so 12% of borrowers have taken out these unique loans </I>..wmanny_velasco8/15/2006
59948Title insurers make their money on transaction volume. Foreclosures will be huJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59947WCI got an upgrade this morning: 15-Aug-06 JMP Securities Upgrade Mkt UnderperfTravis_Bickle8/15/2006
59946'I would bet that most of these borrowers are simply younger people with newJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59945'No way an independent could compete with his products.' Perhaps that iJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59944Brookfield (BHS) and high price-to-book value. On August 9, this little summaryAl_Tannr8/15/2006
59943I saw several job openings for this unit of GMAC. Everyone just calls themselveJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59942Golden West mortgage lending,credit quality weaken Tue Aug 15, 2006 9:02am ET143Broken_Clock8/15/2006
59941"The 0.3 percent drop in food costs reflected a retreat in a variety of fooBroken_Clock8/15/2006
59940Inflation Rises on Wholesale Level >>>Not much of a bump upwards. Is ChanceIs8/15/2006
59939Thanks for pointing this one out. It sure sounds like a short to me on the broaChanceIs8/15/2006
59938Philly Fed boston.comLes H8/15/2006
59937That is one great site. I wonder what percentage of jobs is listed, assuming noRamsey Su8/15/2006
59936Professor Thornberg: Hard Landing Coming This is interesting. Dr. Thornberg haCalculatedRisk8/15/2006
59935Elroy, >>You may be paying 67% to 250% more for building material than majBill/WA8/15/2006
59934Job openings in REO departments. Perhaps who is staffing up gives us clues? caJohn Vosilla8/15/2006
59933...and NFI is about the same.Schnullie8/15/2006
59932<i> when I tried to short NFI and NEW </i> I believe the LLLs finalSchnullie8/15/2006
59931Nice chart for a crash.Jim McMannis8/14/2006
59930Northern CA is not as bad as florida. So you may wait a while for a crash.Lizzie Tudor8/14/2006
59929Can anyone think of reasons why a title company would be spared? I know they caTaikun8/14/2006
59928Shorted CFC and NEW at Schwab today, around 1:30pm EDT. No problem getting the bXBrit8/14/2006
59927>>working class neighborhoods 10 years ago now require "gentrified&qugladman8/14/2006
59926strong close today. siliconinvestor.comWyätt Gwyön8/14/2006
59925Well, I mostly work downtown Chicago, so it's a 25 minute train ride for me J. P.8/14/2006
59924FWIW, when I tried to short NFI and NEW at Fido today, they both were indicated patron_anejo_por_favor8/14/2006
59923LOLJim McMannis8/14/2006
59922Builders cope with rising matrials costs builderonline.comLes H8/14/2006
59921Inventory of unoccupied homes rising builderonline.comLes H8/14/2006
59920<i>Covered LEND at 33.28. I think NEW and NFI are more attractively priceorkrious8/14/2006
59919Louis: "Looking good, Billy Ray!" Billy Ray: "Feeling good, LouiTravis_Bickle8/14/2006
59918Bought poots on NFI (Sept 40's).....patron_anejo_por_favor8/14/2006
59917When I move back to Chicago i'm buying a home in Plainfield. $500K and you&gladman8/14/2006
59916federalreserve.gov the detailed versionRamsey Su8/14/2006
59915St JOE I hope! -g-Broken_Clock8/14/2006
59914Few minutes ago I drove past a buildboard for a builder that sadi "Move In Travis_Bickle8/14/2006
59913I guess the Fed doesn't look at the weekly MBA numbers. Maybe they should aPaul Kern8/14/2006
59912Burr Ridge, we looked into Naperville, it just wasn't our thing. They are bJ. P.8/14/2006
59911*DJ Fed Survey:US Bks Report Weaker Demand For Mortgages *DJ Fed Survey: ConsumPaul Kern8/14/2006
59910"Relief Rally" fades Homebuilders now turning red More calls sold todasaveslivesbyday8/14/2006
59909You need to get some clothes on and get out in the real world. Don't you knoBroken_Clock8/14/2006
59908I feel reasonably certain that the smiling family pictured is not one that purchworksinjammies8/14/2006
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