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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
10809 190 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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10809ROKU... I've been watching ROKU for a while... Took a shot Wednesday aftersixty2nds-last Friday
10808Which companies are working on / developing plasmonic modulation technologies foDinoNavarre-last Friday
10807"Speed without Heat" Anything special here....??? From Grok: Is LigDinoNavarre-last Friday
10806It is microchip Biotech time ... I had a GTC limit buy @ $3.25 FBIO Fill today.sixty2nds-last Wednesday
10805Amazon blocks AI shopping bots Amazon has taken significant legal and technicDinoNavarre2last Wednesday
10804[X] We all knew this was coming… but today I heard about it actually happening.DinoNavarre2last Wednesday
10803AMRZ... Sold it all for BE. It takes a lot of energy to make cement and roofinsixty2nds1last Monday
10802“Passion” comes from the Latin passio which means “suffering, undergoing, enduriSun Tzu2March 7
10801Couple of Updates on Almonty.. Details on Almonty thread.. - New PT by DA DaviSultan1March 6
10800 Once an eagle soared to the sky, Spread his wings and rode the wind on highSun Tzu1March 6
10799Behold, the power of buying bounces off of the green rail! PS I already have a Sun Tzu2March 4
10798If any one is interested to check BOA's research report on ALM.. [graphic]Sultan1February 27
10797ALM youtube.comSultan-February 26
10796Jensen on AI China vs US Skip to minute 6. China vs US on AI per Jensen Huang Sun Tzu-February 26
10795As far as ALM is concerned, couple of things to share.. CEO had a presentationSultan3February 26
10794This morning a research PDF crossed my feed that in some key parts is incrediblySun Tzu1February 26
10793Please do share your findings and opinions with the rest of us here.Sun Tzu-February 26
10792I only have BFLY.. Have yet to check the numbers reported but not too shabby.. Sultan-February 26
10791The stars of today are BFLY and SEZL. I'm sure at least one of them is makinSun Tzu2February 26
10790For those of you curious what my invention is about: The architecture I’m patenSun Tzu5February 25
10789[X] Crypto Explained pic.twitter.com/7BUKFT53Uo— Barchart (@Barchart) FebruarDinoNavarre5February 25
10788Cool.... [X] ASML's EUV machine produces light by firing 100,000 molten tin drDinoNavarre1February 25
10787China allows universities to accept patent applications in lieu of Ph.D. dissertSun Tzu2February 25
10786AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript finance.Sultan1February 24
10785Right.. I was impressed with CEO's detailed handle on various projects.. HSultan2February 24
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