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To: Neocon who wrote (14312)9/6/1999 4:26:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
Re: My view is that economics is a legitimate social science that is still in an early stage of development....

My view is that economics never was, is not, and never will be a proper science. Economics is not dealing with scientific objects and can't offer anything close to a metrology, that is there is not such a thing as a 'scientific measurement' in economics. Economics is an ideological field, it's prey to ideological schisms between orthodox and maverick parties.... Of course, as a managing rationale endorsed by politicos worldwide, economics vitally needs to wrap itself up in a scientific veneer: to successfully bluff the plebs, its set of laws must look as undisputable as the laws of gravity.



To: Neocon who wrote (14312)9/6/1999 5:09:00 AM
From: MNI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 17770
 
This is ironic, and OT. The Berlin republic has arrived. After landslide success in two state elections yesterday of the conservative CDU party over the social democrat SPD party of Chancellor Schroeder, secretary general of the CDU party Angela Merkel now talks 'state saxon'. CDU will use its second chamber majority 'constructively'. The idiomatic change, that hit the republic at the first major political event just at the end of political summer break, is most surprising.

Altogether it is clear that in the future German politics will have even less interest in caring for foreign states, like the central ones (Poland, other neighbours, Turkey, Yugoslav countries), let alone about Bulgaria, Romania. This comes despite two exciting pieces of news of the week: Foreign Minister Fischer said that Poland is already part of the EU 'in my view' at the sixtieth anniversary of Germany's assault; and Turkey is 'most likely' (i.e.: 'will') enter the list of EU applicant states this year.

Regards and good wishes, MNI.

Definitions:
#1: 'state saxon' is a certain idiom of German that was cultured (but never officially defined) among the GDR party members, writers, sportsmen, etc. (whoever had a chance to appear in mass media had to use this accent).

#2: Angela Merkel, maybe the most noted individual politician among the younger CDU generation, is from former GDR; she is from Catholic environs and was part of the students' parishes movement in the GDR. She is least likely to use state saxon for several reasons: a) dissenters in the last year of the GDR spoke out in high German, if they felt able to produce reasonable output in that way; and Frau Merkel impressed in this art from her very first day in the media 1989, b) her home country is Thuringia, with clearly different tongue, c) even those politicians (e.g. of the PDS, formerly SED = party that formerly ruled the GDR) who built on contrasting East and West German popular cultures to gain in the East, never used state saxon, but the more civilian traditional tongues of saxon proper, East and West Thuringian, Berliner, Anhaltiner and Brandenburger Platt. As a secretary general her job is to be the political mouthpiece of the party, not so much to stand as a central candidate.

#3: Landslide elections:
a) In the Saarland, homecountry of former minster of finance Oskar Lafontaine, who has been ousted by Schroeder, after several months of mutual fighting-experience, SPD has had an absolute majority of votes for the last 14 years. Only when in the last few months it became clear that unprofiled young CDU contender Peter Mueller would have a chance of winning, Saarland president Klimmt (SPD) together with Lafontaine shot wildly at the federal government of their party colleague Chancellor Schroeder - pollsters say by this actions SPD won back around a percent of the votes. But not enough to win back the 8% of votes they had lost already at that time. CDu has absolute majority in the new parliament; Greens and Liberals could not overcome a 5% threshold to enter parliament. For the Greens it is the first time.
Saarland is the smallest state in Federal Germany, in the extreme West. The switching of Saarland means that a CDU majority in the federal chamber, that has been won last year, is stabilized.

b) Brandenburg is the biggest state by area, reaching back from the extreme East to surround Berlin, that is a state of its' own. Brandenburg is the only one of the former GDR that did not vote with CDU majority in 1991. It has been reigned by a comfortable SPD absolute majority, lead by Bishop Stolpe, ever since, while the other states slowly reconverged to SPD majorities. Bishop Stolpe was the central figure of the lutheran church in the GDR and is so amazingly popular that even some marginal proof of wild StaSi (=secret police of the GDR) cooperation allegations couldn't destroy that popularity.
Brandenburgs economic and social situation is so desperate (compared to other regions in Germany, of course), that a loss seemed inevitable. However nobody had believed that voters' mobility could reach 15% in Germany. Brandenburg's parliament includes now the SPD as the biggest party (39%), the CDU as a second largest (26%), the PDS as the third (21%) (in Brandenburg, it is a huge succes for the CDU to outnumber the PDS) and the neo-Nazi DVU at 5.3% (first time to enter parliament in Brandenburg). Which coalition Stolpe will seek is not yet clear, but everything points to a SPD-CDU coalition.
The despair and frustration of Brandenburg voters is exacted not only by the DVU strike, but even more by the low ballot rate: an all time low of 52%. Side remark: polls two months ago have shown that some 70% of Brandenburg voters are likely to oppose democracy as a system.
However, also in the Saarland total ballot was small: five years ago there was an 'all-time low' of 86%, this time 68%, mainly indicating frustrated voters.

Stolpes political tactics lately has been to oppose Schroeder's federal budget saving course. A considerable part of the campaigning effort was typed as 'We in Brandenburg' regional patriotism, with some second rate SPD politicians shooting personal attacks at the CDU and PDS leading figures. CDU was led by a westerner, PDS by Lothar Bissky, formerly SED, and talking high german...



To: Neocon who wrote (14312)9/6/1999 5:37:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
What's your take on the following paper?

CYBERCRIME: THE CHALLENGE TO LEVIATHAN?

Is the Technology of the Information Age, in the Hands of Criminal Elements, Contributing to the Erosion of State Sovereignty?


ABSTRACT

The idea of state sovereignty is ultimately based on coercive force; when the ability of the state to use force declines, its sovereignty begins to crumble. This paper will analize the power relationship between criminals and the state and argue that the legitimate sovereignty of the state is eroding because it is increasingly unable to defend its territory, protect private property, or exercise effective control over the information and wealth which its people have access to. The argument will be divided into three parts: first, the theoretical concepts will be defined; second, the empirical evidence will be discussed; and third, the evidence will be analyzed and its consequences addressed.

CONTENTS

Introduction: pp 1-2

PART I

Cyberspace: pp 2-3

Sovereignty: pp 3-5

Cybercrime: pp 6-8

Cybercrime and its Impact on the Sovereign State: pp 8-9

PART II

Soliciting Controlled Information: pp 9-14

Espionage: pp 14-19

Theft: pp 19-23

Strategic Information Theft: pp 20-21

Embezzlement: pp 21-23

Information Warfare: pp 23-26

Economic Sabotage & Extortion: pp 24-25

Terrorism: pp 25-26

PART III

The International Dimension of Cybercrime: pp 26-27

The Cybercriminal Firm: pp 27-30

Transnational Black Market Regimes: pp 31-33

The Balance of Power: pp 33-36

The International Response: pp 36-39

Transnational Bureaucracies: pp 37-39

The Defence of Sovereignty? pp 39-41

Conclusion: pp 41-42

[...]

PART I

An invasion of armies can be resisted, but not an idea whose time has come-- Victor Hugo (1802-1885)

CYBERSPACE

In the last twenty five years, the world has experienced dramatic changes brought about by the technological fruits of the Information Revolution. Satellite and fibre optic cabling systems have linked the four corners of the world through a web of electronic networks that can transmit bursts of information in a matter of seconds. This complex neural network, where computers across the earth communicate with each other, is called 'cyberspace'.
[...]

Information creates infinite possibilities and empowers those who hold it. The best and most accurate information is the most useful and the most valued. It is therefore, kept, if possible, secret and away from the hands of groups or individuals who might use or abuse its power. Cyberspace is the reservoir where the wealth and power of the Information Age is locked. Yet, because cyberspace does not occupy physical space, this cornucopia is out of the jurisdictional reach of the state, whose sovereign existence is rooted in the concept of physical territory.

SOVEREIGNTY

If the resources of wealth and power of the Information Age are outside the boundaries of the state, can the state still be referred to as the absolute authority of human society, recognising no power above its supremacy? In other words, is state sovereignty in the process of erosion in the Information Age?
[...]

CYBERCRIME AND ITS IMPACT ON THE SOVEREIGN STATE

Before the advent of mass communications the state could act as an effective barrier filtering information to its citizens, and in conjunction with legislation, controlling their thoughts and their actions. This behavior was and is true of all states --whether they are totalitarian or democratic. The only variance has been in the degree of control and jurisdiction each state was able and willing to exercise over its physical territory. The Soviet Union, for example, could censor the news and facts coming in and out of its borders and keep the world and its people ignorant of information it believed to be subversive. Similarly, the US could hide secret military plans and other relevant data from prying eyes to protect its national security. Thus, the government, being the physical embodiment of the concept of the state, was in effective control and could maintain the Hobbesian principles of sovereignty: the defence of the realm and the maintenance of law and order.

But to what degree is the state expected to protect its citizens and uphold its sovereign legal rights against cybercrime? To answer this question, the ability of the state to enact legislation, must be contrasted with its capacity to enforce rules against behaviour it defines as 'criminal'. Hobbes' focus was to alleviate these practical questions of coercion by removing the right of individuals to wield physical force and thus extinguishing their power against the sovereign. Yet, by looking at the definition of cybercrime above, one notices the absence of physical force in the equation. Thus, the ability to control the resources of wealth and power in the Information Age requires brains not brawn. Information and knowledge are more effective than a fist or a gun when interacting with cyberspace. This does not imply that there is no power behind the barrel of a gun, but cybercrime has far lower transaction costs, incur smaller risks, promises greater potential profits and can be just as deadly. Cybercrime does not use overt physical coercion and it cannot be easily controlled by the state because it is invisible and intangible. "The state is failing to deliver its side of the Faustian pact, where the individual submits to the legitimate violence of the state in return for protection and security".

PART II

SOLICITING CONTROLLED INFORMATION

'Soliciting Controlled Information' is a broad category which we can use to cover the distribution, creation and acquisition of pornography, banned books, facts, news and other 'subversive' ideas which the state has deemed to be immoral or dangerous because of what it may provoke people to think. Thus, by defining what is inappropriate, each state, whether acting alone or in concert, is responsible for regulating the flow of information and distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate activities. This is by far the most common form of cybercrime because it is perpetrated, to a large extent, by ordinary citizens, and not just career criminals, whose business is to break the law. Yet, by definition, they are still cybercriminals, even though they may only be journalists, or political dissidents. [...]

Full essay:
lse.ac.uk

Gus, your cybercriminal cabbie....



To: Neocon who wrote (14312)9/6/1999 5:09:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
My or my...<<<My view is that economics is a legitimate social science that is still in an early stage of development>>

Are we talking about the very same field where 51 % correctness in a given year constitute being a Genius or more recently Wunderkind...?

Is it the very same "Science" that relies heavily on understanding of El Nino and Y2K effects? <VBG>



To: Neocon who wrote (14312)9/6/1999 5:24:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 17770
 
What is your view on alchemistry?...abandoned alltogether prematurely?..<VBG>>

The euro slipped after Germany's ruling Social Democrats
suffered landslide defeats in two regional elections yesterday.
The election results could frustrate Chancellor Gerhard
Schroeder's attempts to get his planned spending cuts approved by
the Bundesrat, or upper house of parliament.
``Noone likes uncertainty, and least of all investors,'
said David Brickman, an economist at PaineWebber International.
The result ``could take the shine off the euro' for now, he
said.

Schroeder said his national-level government must accept the
blame for the losses because of unpopular plans, including
spending cuts worth 30 billion deutsche marks ($16.1 billion)
slated for next year.

quote.bloomberg.com