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Strategies & Market Trends : TIMING INDEX MUTUAL FUNDS -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (33)	2/6/2000 9:15:00 AM
From: jjs_ynot	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 428

Don, Any comments. Should I increase the downside exposure or leave it at 40%, or even hedge it??? In terms of the amount of downside exposure; I think that it should correspond to the risk level that your system is indicating. For example; you have said that there is a 3-day pattern after getting a class 1 sell or buy signal. It would seem that you should have maximum exposure in the direction of the signal during those 3 days and then start to hedge as seems appropriate, perhaps averaging in with 50% the day of the signal and 50% the next day. For the most recent sell signal; what is day one - Friday or Monday? Regards, Dave

To: donald sew who wrote (33)	2/6/2000 11:39:00 AM
From: edward miller	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 428

Donald, Here is an obvious question. With the S&P rolling over more obviously than the NAS, why are you in USPIX and not more into URPIX? The NAS is going it's own way (UP !!) while the Dow and S&P are having their troubles. Which index will lead to the downside on a break? I think the answer is the S&P. Keep in mind that I am mostly a lurker and don't have the time to trade every day. I am often wrong, but this seems obvious to me: short the weak sister and don't short early. Ed Miller