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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (58078)6/12/2002 12:32:37 PM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Interestingly enough, the amount of "small-guy" participation in the markets and "his" level of investment in it may make him a major player in it when it comes to mutual funds and so forth.

But I tend to agree with you, the commercials don't lose and stay commercials!



To: Real Man who wrote (58078)6/12/2002 4:38:11 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
pullease... spoos dwarf nazdung... check that COT and tell me what you see...



To: Real Man who wrote (58078)6/13/2002 12:15:20 AM
From: xtahce  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Vi, nope....small investors performed that feat in May 1970

Well, they've been right before...about 32 yrs ago, back then this often titled "naive public" did the exact opposite from the pros and bought when the professional panicked... problem is the face of today's individual investor has change by a generation since then. Two years ago Sam Zell commented "It will probably end slowly rather than with a 1,000-point drop in one day, primarily because it's tough to convince people who've been winning that the game has changed. The whole new wild factor is all these individual investors who don't have the discipline of the pros. The market will go down, and they'll say, `Oh, another dip, a chance to double up.' But as the market keeps declining, they'll run out of money, and we'll get back to reality."

For the most part I think the institutions are more than ever dominating today's trading, individuals have more than curbed they transactions and maybe this addresses the lack of high volumes we witnessed prior to mid 2001. Question is will the pros panic again and dump? True, the individual has ridden this decline and although they can't be held solely responsible for the bubble, they sure as heck were the catalyst for institutions to pump away at.... the sheep blindly followed. But IMO it will be the pros who will designate this bottom....whenever that may happen.

Message 17390595

hmmmm....there were less than 400 mutual funds back then and who knows how many hedge funds....then again no one knows the number of hedge funds operating today.

Hiya William, still haven't learnt the fine art of one liner answers ;o)

Hope you're keeping well!
Cya
Liz