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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/20/2003 5:45:41 PM
From: RealMuLan  Read Replies (8) | Respond to of 74559
 
Again, think and say all you want, I could not care less, and 1.3 billion Chinese could not care less. After all, this IS China's internal affair, NONE OF YOUR/Other countries/Other People's BUSINESS.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/20/2003 10:22:29 PM
From: que seria  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Maurice: I greatly doubt the decision-makers in Taiwan and
China are nutty enough to prompt/start a war. Consider:

1. The island would suffer greatly even if the U.S. intervened and prevented a successful invasion. Why risk all when there is a de facto state of independence?

2. The U.S. intervening would lead to lasting enmity between the U.S. and China, and the U.S. can't afford to alienate China now that we're increasingly dependent upon its credit and factories.

3. China would suffer a large and lasting economic blow--and if it failed to conquer, a bigger blow to its image.

4. No one is going to start nuking anyone even if the U.S. were to give air and naval support to Taiwan. And the U.S. might not, which is another reason Taiwan will compromise.

5. Given 1-4, the adults in charge will ultimately reach a face-saving way out of the rhetorical box that some are putting their nations in.

If India and Pakistan, Israel and Egypt/Syria, and a host of African "nations" can stay out of war despite very significant cultural/religious/historical hostility, I'm sure that people sharing a common heritage on each side of the Taiwan Strait can manage to do so. They have a lot of life, wealth and momentum to preserve and nurture.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/21/2003 1:21:42 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Maurice is that like errrr.. the war of secession in the US ? Well that's what it would been called at least if the South had won... ;o) Is that one of those things though that is irrelevant because it happened along time ago.. ;o)

regards
Kastel

EDIT and I think que seria is correct



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/22/2003 6:57:36 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 74559
 
Good post.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/22/2003 6:57:36 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 74559
 
Good post.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (41819)11/22/2003 6:57:36 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Good post.