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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: energyplay who wrote (44202)	1/2/2004 9:01:11 PM
From: Seeker of Truth	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

When everybody is being irrational shouldn't we try to be rational? Since the previous China boom was overdone why should we copy it exactly? I think it's best to get out too soon, i.e. when the PE's are objectionally high, even though the market's momentum is tremendous. I'm not saying that time is now.

To: energyplay who wrote (44202)	1/2/2004 10:55:00 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Energyplay, <<China ... fun>> I speak as a veteran of the Red Chip War, and I think BCA is right, but for the serious danger that (a) Taiwan may proceed with the referendum on Mainland China missiles/Taiwan Independence, (b) the referendum, if held, may see the majority led to their appointment with destiny, (c) China Mainland will likely create that destiny, and (d) the US may be left to do as it wishes, as it may, which may not be enough, at least not to prevent a collapse of China Red Chip market and the US NYSE trading place. The danger may not actualize, but the fear of the danger will most assuredly come to pass, I am betting, because I am now suspicious of my earlier thoughts: Message 19564832 <<December 5th, 2003>> Message 19567855 <<December 5th, 2003>> Message 19569617 <<December 6th, 2003>> Message 19579330 <<December 10th, 2003>> Message 19580841 <<December 10th, 2003>> Message 19634464 <<December 29th, 2003>>