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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: james-rockford who wrote (487)9/9/2004 6:04:51 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 26022
 
You won't find a superimposed predicted track and the real track. I want to gauge the accuracy of the predictions. But they aren't nowhere.

Message 20503417



To: james-rockford who wrote (487)9/9/2004 9:28:04 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26022
 
Hi James - I'm in California with relatives on the West Coast of Florida. I get 90% of my info from the internet - The sudden intensification of Charley was known 12 hours ahead of time, easy.

A number of the web sites stressed the instability of Charley's track, and that the hurricane warning was for the whole West Coast.

The little national media I watched DID subsitute "Tampa" for "West Coast of Florida". This includes the Weather Channel people.

Most TV media are not able to discuss probablities or uncertainties.

This got people hurt and killed.

The real forecasters did their job, but when you have a path at a shallow angle to the coast, any uncertainty get magnified. When there's a 90 degree approach, like to the Florida panhandle, there is much less uncertainty.

Mass market TV can't handle uncertainty.

I'll ty to post a web site on this later.