SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert b furman who wrote (19485)12/15/2014 3:44:41 PM
From: rayrohn  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 41631
 
IMO what most people are missing is Deflation

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'DEFLATION'Declining prices, if they persist, generally create a vicious spiral of negatives such as falling profits, closing factories, shrinking employment and incomes, and increasing defaults on loans by companies and individuals. To counter deflation, the Federal Reserve (the Fed) can use monetary policy to increase the money supply and deliberately induce rising prices, causing inflation. Rising prices provide an essential lubricant for any sustained recovery because businesses increase profits and take some of the depressive pressures off wages and debtors of every kind.

Deflationary periods can be both short or long, relatively speaking. Japan, for example, had a period of deflation lasting decades starting in the early 1990's. The Japanese government lowered interest rates to try and stimulate inflation, to no avail. Zero interest rate policy was ended in July of 2006.

One side note here Japan now has trumped zero interest rate IMO it going to fail also ...

I posted these charts before







now OIl which technical has a top in 2011
which IMO has a very good chance of testing the 1999 lows
anyway it will trade below 50 buck probably around 46 might even trade around 32 before a serious bounce



IMO 2011 is when the Fed Bull shit Stop working IMO Bernanke figured that out and got out {lol it not his fault}

lol do u wonder why the funding bill has a provision in it to bail out the banks derivatives ... think they know something we have not been told yet ??

I wonder what will happen to stock prices when everyone figures out that Q'e's did nothing for the economy an actually probably has hurt it....

if u think all this is bull post me a chart that show inflation that the Fed was trying to accomplish
BTW posting a chart of the S&P is cheating



To: robert b furman who wrote (19485)12/15/2014 5:58:23 PM
From: POKERSAM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41631
 
Bob - I understand your reasoning and you may be right. We will see.
Once that five is complete what do you think will explain the huge drop in the markets that will retrace 50-60% of the advance from 666 to wherever the five ends.

You are also assuming that oil will stay as low as it is and not return to recent highs.