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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam who wrote (3370)8/31/2015 11:18:53 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 26596
 
I would like to see more bears than bulls in the II Poll. Last time that happened though was in 2011. I don't know for sure that it will happen but you are right in that it could happen pretty quickly.

Not unless we see lower lows than last Monday though. Futures down again tonight:

bloomberg.com

cnbc.com

Keep in mind I am not expecting the market to sell off much harder than it has already. It could... I would not rule out a bear market... but I think the selling last Monday set a high enough high in the VIX and rotten enough market breadth to begin the bottoming process.

Anyway, time will tell.

RtS



To: Sam who wrote (3370)9/1/2015 8:33:32 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
toccodolce

  Respond to of 26596
 
I got so many buy signals confirmed today. Just before leaving the house to try and find wind (unsuccessfully) I heard Dennis Gartman on TV say it was a bear market and he was net short. I think he threw in the bear towel and got bullish just before the market rolled over. I think I take perverse pleasure it seems watching the pompous on TV yammer on like they have a clue in the hopes they attract assets to manage for a fee... fail.



To: Sam who wrote (3370)6/12/2017 11:21:57 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
rdkflorida2

  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 26596
 
New Question for debate: Is some form of UBI a way to utopia is the road to ruin?


(UBI: Universal Basic Income - Give everyone some money, probably funded by taxing the top 0.1%, perhaps by extending the payroll tax to ALL income, including capital gains, and then giving "everyone" enough to live on in the US at some level.)

The biggest question for me is "who would wash the dishes and clean tables at restaurants as not everyone will get to express their creativity as a cook."

Moving this political discussion from Don's topic to here.

To catch others up, this got it started.
To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (75931)6/10/2017 9:26:30 PM
From: Sam1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) of 75942
My opinion, FWIW (not very much), a little rebound, then a little more profit taking, then up again. This is maybe inning 2 or 3 of a semiconductor super cycle. A long way to go. Many of the big post-industrial advances in the global economy are enabled by advances in electronics and semiconductors. AI, autonomous driving, genetics and other medical testing, 3D printing, smart homes, smart roads and smart cities. "Plastics," that guy said to Dustin Hoffman back in the '60s. "Chips," he would say today. Only this time he would be more right than wrong.
My thought

To: Sam who wrote (75932)6/12/2017 11:03:06 AM
From: Kirk © Read Replies (1) of 75942
VR is in there somewhere too.
AI, autonomous driving, genetics and other medical testing, 3D printing, smart homes, smart roads and smart cities.
As for smart homes... all I have is a network camera to detect movement and start saving video. It means I don't run around the house naked as much... I'm pretty sure I don't want to rely on the command "Open the door Hal" to get in our out....

It is really weird to look at the latest history from Google maps that shows me everywhere I drove the past few years....

HBO's "Silicon Valley" show last night was interesting in showing the problems with current VR technology and how much interest there is in it. The big flaw in the latest "invention" on that show is people with smart phones will not want to pay for bandwidth and see their phone processing power lowered by even a fraction to distribute their data in a virtual network.... unless they are compensated for it. Anyway, it is interesting and somewhat entertaining.
Your reply
To: Kirk © who wrote (75940)6/12/2017 11:10:57 AM
From: Sam Read Replies (1) of 75942
For sure. VR. AR, robotics--they are each subsets of AI, I think. But important enough to distinguish them.

There are incredible things coming over the next century. Whether that will be good for humans or not--that is the question. Francis Bacon in the late 16th, early 17th century, had the idea that, with scientific thinking and advances, humans could recreate a Garden of Eden for themselves. That became a guiding political idea during the 18th and 19th century Enlightenment for many people. Alongside of course warnings from Romantics and traditional religions that the goal itself was hubristic and could never be accomplished nor should it even be tried. That battle continues in the 21st century. Semiconductors are the weapons of one side of it. As with all weapons, they can used and they can be abused. Let's hope that humans can avoid too much abusing.
Finally....
To: Sam who wrote (75941)6/12/2017 11:16:13 AM
From: Kirk © of 75942
For sure!
Semiconductors are the weapons of one side of it. As with all weapons, they can used and they can be abused. Let's hope that humans can avoid too much abusing.I think the discussion gets political on how to best accomplish making it the good for society as a whole rather than continuing the trend of powerful billionaires whose success more or less has sucked the ability of the middle class with sub to average IQ to earn a decent income. UBI is one idea being kicked around here in the Silicon Valley that I was against at first look but now have some ideas on how it might work.... anyway, I'll move it to my board since this UBI is well off topic now.



To: Sam who wrote (3370)7/27/2020 10:51:19 AM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Sam

  Respond to of 26596
 
Here is an article that at least confirms my earlier comment that I thought Intel ALREADY did business with TSMC via its Altera purchase.

Highlights of the day: Intel may expand partnership with TSMC
DIGITIMES staff
Monday 27 July 2020

As Intel is facing troubles to improve its manufacturing processes, the CPU giant is now seeking outside help in production of some of its processors with TSMC having a high chance to be one of the partners. Meanwhile, PCB makers Zhen Ding and AT&S now together supply 60% of SLP used in iPhones and Apple Watch, leaving about 40% shared among smaller suppliers. Because of the uprising opportunity of 5G, ASE has been increasing its capacity of FC-AiP packaging and is looking to stay at the top of the industry for the 5G sector.
TSMC EUV nodes to attract orders from Intel, sources say: Intel at its recent earnings call disclosed that its next-generation 7nm processors, including the company's first 7nm datacenter GPU design, would rely on external and internal process technologies, sparking speculation about TSMC being its potential foundry partner.
Zhen Ding, AT&S lead in SLP mainboard supply for iPhones, Apple Watch: SLP (substrate-like PCBs) makers in the supply chain of Apple devices have ended their first wave of competition, with Taiwan's Zhen Ding Technology and Austria's AT&S each absorbing 30% of orders for iPhone and Apple Watch applications, according to industry sources.

ASE ramping up FC-AiP packaging capacity: ASE Technology Holding has continued committing equity investments to build up its FC-AiP (flip chip-antenna in package) packaging capacity seeking to maintain its leading position in the sector, according to industry sources.
digitimes.com