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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (521)3/5/1999 6:32:00 PM
From: Hector  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10612
 
Excellent analysis and I'm in full agreement. I've been making this arguement to people over the last year about how daytraders and internet traders are affecting the averages on the margin while the money flows continue to deteriorate.

It will take a huge change in psychology, either via a crash or slow painstaking losses to change it. The crash isn't here yet, but the losses have been mounting as daily volatility increases.

The fact that a number of major news magazines and papers have recently had full blown articles on internet trading spells trouble is directly ahead.



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (521)3/5/1999 8:15:00 PM
From: Stuart C Hall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10612
 
Sun Tzu,

You take into consideration factors which are beyond me at this point in my level of investment maturity. I don't see the clear correlation between Mutual Funds, individuals and a correction of more than 20%. If the money supply is diversified over the general population I find this to be more comforting than in the hands of a few portfolio managers at Vanguard.

There are the few stocks that everyone likes to carry but a portion of most portfolios also carry the dogs like, hmm, TDFX which is a place where institutions just don't go. TDFX had 1,000,000 shares traded today. 4X their average.

Your ratio of advances to declines is supossed to illustrate that while the indices are climbing, the underlying stocks are suffering because the indices are carried by a few big names? The big get bigger while the small get smaller?

Speaking of Mutual Funds that don't beat the S&P, try these on: WWWFX, WWIFX.

As always, this thread is educational.

I'm still carrying CMGI, DELL, TDFX, ATHM, INSP, CSCO, EGRP and WAVX. Pretty much in that order of investment dollars. I also saw the report from the analyst this week that put CMGI's stock price at $50, but I don't agree with his evaluation. I am considering moving up my limit orders this weekend. ;-)

Later this month I will have held DELL for more than 12 months. I'm considering selling it after I get the capital gains tax break and looking at diversifying the funds that were tied up there. Any suggestions on this line of thinking?

Regards,
Stuart



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (521)3/6/1999 12:19:00 PM
From: joel3  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10612
 
Most people don't know this, but mutual funds experienced a net out flow for 3 weeks in February and even now the inflows are half of what they were a year ago.

Sun,

Where do you find this info?

Joel



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (521)3/9/1999 2:41:00 PM
From: Michael Sphar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10612
 
<<But this is turning into a huge bubble and a musical chair if forming as fewer and fewer stocks go up (but by large amounts) and more and more stocks fall to the floor.>>

What will it take to get these fallen victims to resuscitate ?