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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
57707I imagine raw acreage not already permitted, subdivided or improved with infrastJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57706re: "You might see new subdivisions completely abandoned in certain one triThink4Yourself7/13/2006
57705You think Greenspan, Snow, Kudlow, Lereah or Bush really cares about the little John Vosilla7/13/2006
57704'The inventory levels coupled with cash position means KBH will be discountiJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57703Heads should roll. Unfortunately, a lot of them have left office or resigned as Jim McMannis7/13/2006
57702You have a good point about the feds for next year. I think it's too early Think4Yourself7/13/2006
57701It's probably going to be 73-74' for the real economy and 90-92' forJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57700Just imagine the RE margin call the next year if many of these events continue tJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57699They did to the extent that some of 'em still have a few saleable shares thepatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57698<i>.I promise I won't f*ck the next one up!</i> Unlike most cloorkrious7/13/2006
57697>>What are the CEO's running these companies thinking? ARE they thinkipatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57696UFB. I'll gladly pay that dividend on my short. [edit] I hadn't lookeorkrious7/13/2006
57695Re: <i> KBH just declared a $.25 quarterly dividend. Their yield is now 2.Dan37/13/2006
57694Dan3,re:"it's going to impact the whole economy". Sure, very positJohn Chen7/13/2006
57693I was actually thinking of lightening up on my KBH puts and moving the cash to LThink4Yourself7/13/2006
57692You still thinking this, darlin? Happy Yergin Day. Message 22619720Wharf Rat7/13/2006
57691J.P,re:"no way I'm buying now!". Prior cycle was 10+ years from peJohn Chen7/13/2006
57690It already HAS In many places and most likely your area too. Median prices are mishedlo7/13/2006
57689This guy has a future as a financial intermediary denver.yourhub.comLes H7/13/2006
57688DHI now down nearly 10% AH: data.inetats.com They could be a teenager by tomorpatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57687this is when the people who were banking on book value to be a floor to stock prsammaster7/13/2006
57686I'm gonna have to tap that i/2 bottle of silver in the cupboard tonight. -g-Broken_Clock7/13/2006
57685<i>lowered yearly EPS to 3.65 from 5.25.</i> Will it take three or orkrious7/13/2006
57684Looks like Horton heard a who! Big earnings warning, lowered yearly EPS to 3.65 patron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57683>>I'm interested because we need a bigger house, but there is no way Ipatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57682Where will you be buying? Phoenix, Florida, Hawaii, California are already seeinBroken_Clock7/13/2006
57681When does anybody think this will translate into significantly lower actual housJ. P.7/13/2006
57680<I>"There is <b>excess steam</b> in the market created bypatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57679Born-again Rubinomics thenation.comLes H7/13/2006
57678Seems like the vix should be 25 or so but its not quite 17 even.damainman7/13/2006
57677Hmm, let's see Iraq bombings, Afghanistan Talisban resurgence, Iran Nuclear,Think4Yourself7/13/2006
57676Gonna be a wacky end of week- Middle East, BOJ, dhi update- you may yet get a chdamainman7/13/2006
57675They already are here in Kona. Most don't have sell stops in place so they aBroken_Clock7/13/2006
57674Congrats for holding on. I was close to reshorting Centex and St Joe in recent John Vosilla7/13/2006
57673Seems a whole generation of new age real estate moguls are going to learn a painJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57672Whatever happened to this one? Apprentice winner Kendra Todd started her RE carJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57671>>>Poor horse. It looked like he was home free after 6 weeks.<<&lChanceIs7/13/2006
57670Poor horse. It looked like he was home free after 6 weeks.Jim McMannis7/13/2006
57669Daniel Yergin Day, July 13, 2006 The interweave of real estate and peak oil. AChanceIs7/13/2006
57668Madame Zalora globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mishmishedlo7/13/2006
57667The LA Times reports on the San Diego numbers. “San Diego County kicked off CaliBroken_Clock7/13/2006
57666Mobile home sales: did anybody catch the June 27 cover article "BreathtakinPerspective7/13/2006
57665OT - Barbaro's Chances Of Survival 'Poor' >>>Sad news. GrChanceIs7/13/2006
57664Too bad. I would like to see a glut of condos in SF. City officials should make Live2Sail7/13/2006
57663>>>Centex Southwest Florida has this website up...<<< I have ChanceIs7/13/2006
57662I am not so sure the builder will end up being such a winner. The IRS may go afThink4Yourself7/13/2006
57661Yes. And I think it might be low! Look at this chart from IBD last year (just tCalculatedRisk7/13/2006
57660That 28% figure is just mind bogglingjrhana7/13/2006
57659Re: <i>These loans make up an increasing amount of the FHA's volume. IDan37/13/2006
57658These DAPs started around 2000 - and the regulators are just getting around to sCalculatedRisk7/13/2006
57657Centex Southwest Florida has this website up to try and stem the tide (more likeMoneyPenny7/13/2006
57656*DJ Freddie Mac 30-Yr Fixed Rate Falls to 6.74% From 6.79% *DJ Freddie Mac 15-Paul Kern7/13/2006
57655<Who wins?? The builder.> Also local governments because they get to collejrhana7/13/2006
57654>>>"gift" down payment cash<<< I see from the otherChanceIs7/13/2006
57653The amount of pure sleaze in real estate never ceases to amaze me. Trying to flijrhana7/13/2006
57652Zacks on LEND: Analyst Blog: We are reiterating our Hold rating on AccreditedChanceIs7/13/2006
57651On DAPs (charity downpayment assistance programs) ... IRS Ruling Imperils 'CalculatedRisk7/13/2006
57650Several state atty generals have been going after this practice via the non-profrenovator7/13/2006
57649It won't be good. In Phoenix there's nearly as many WAMU branches as thepatron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57648HGX at new 52 week low: <img src='http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$HGX&patron_anejo_por_favor7/13/2006
57647Condo expectations may be rethought as prices plunge nysun.com San Francisco Les H7/13/2006
57646Research show many projects are trial balloons bizjournals.comLes H7/13/2006
57645What I found most interesting was the wording of this phrase: >>>CentePerspective7/13/2006
57644>>>Centex has also recently began offering a "down payment assistaChanceIs7/13/2006
57643What is going to happen to the commercial real estate market when the mortgage bThink4Yourself7/13/2006
57642RE: <i>DJ Countrywide Fincl June Mtgr-Loan Fundings Fell 11% >CFC </Dan37/13/2006
57641DJ Countrywide Fincl June Mtgr-Loan Fundings Fell 11% >CFC DOW JONES NEWSWIPaul Kern7/13/2006
57640I am probably the most bearish on this thread when it comes to the homies and evThink4Yourself7/13/2006
57639Re: <i>KBH... incurred another $1B of additional debt in only two quarterDan37/13/2006
57638Realtors fight for business model Updated 7/12/2006 11:32 PM ET By Noelle KnoMick Mørmøny7/13/2006
57637Vegas- yahoo.reuters.comdamainman7/13/2006
57636<i>The best job in the world is when 1) you like what you are doing 2) youDale Baker7/13/2006
57635Veemac's contractor's license is suspended due to the lack of a bond - wElroy Jetson7/13/2006
57634Ultra-high end is slowing in the Bay Area mercurynews.comLive2Sail7/13/2006
57633KBH bought back $300M worth of stock and incurred another $1B of additional debtJohn Vosilla7/13/2006
57632<i>When Mary and I were thinking seriously about moving to Austin we openemishedlo7/12/2006
57631Yes, I spent most of my career at huge banks. But..... You would not believe whamishedlo7/12/2006
57630I believe that Veemac can prove otherwise. That is my BELIEF. I can actually seemishedlo7/12/2006
57629As an active GC I see an awful lot of missing pieces to this story. I am short Lrenovator7/12/2006
57628You worked for a big bank. You know that at large companies, certain actions andElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57627When Mary and I were thinking seriously about moving to Austin we opened a jointrenovator7/12/2006
57626Dang, you took my reply! ;) The homebuilders have been doing a lot of very foolThink4Yourself7/12/2006
57625<i>I thought you were short Lennar. If you're not I apologize. I'mishedlo7/12/2006
57624I suspect the biggest problem for all of the builders is that they have been speorkrious7/12/2006
57623I do not understand this - at all. There should be quite a lag between the timeDan37/12/2006
57622The same is true of all of the home builders. They are laying people off, scrambElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57621I thought you were short Lennar. If you're not I apologize. I'm not lonElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57620Thanks for posting. Love it! Market is "normalizing" and the brokers sStill Rolling7/12/2006
57619<i>I think your short position on Lennar stock has affected your reasoningmishedlo7/12/2006
57618Goodbye to the real estate boom minnesota.publicradio.orgLes H7/12/2006
57617You might want to compare to the most recent 10Q for LEN for the quarterly perioCalculatedRisk7/12/2006
57616Business as usual on the LEND website; get hired to write "non-prime" Still Rolling7/12/2006
57615Running a company where one customer makes up most of your business is a very riElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57614>>Any theories as to what's holding LEND up?<< Thousands of chipatron_anejo_por_favor7/12/2006
57613Why would Lennar pay Veemac's construction employees if the work was not donElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57612<i>Personally I think they're both going to zero,</i> Any theororkrious7/12/2006
57611How could a framing contractor commit fraud? Lets say they bribed the Lennar emElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57610>>San Diego County's housing market continued to lose steam in June, wpatron_anejo_por_favor7/12/2006
57609I'm sure Lennar, like other large builders, does not have a construction loaElroy Jetson7/12/2006
57608Personally I think they're both going to zero, (or close enough where it doepatron_anejo_por_favor7/12/2006
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