January Effect 2001 | Stock Discussion Forums

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Strategies & Market Trends
January Effect 2001

An SI Board Since December 2000

Posts	SubjectMarks	Bans
289	27	0

Emcee: Q.	Type: Unmoderated

Introduction Compact

Low-priced stocks have their best performance, by far, during the first 10 weeks of the year.

Those that move up most strongly have the following typical profile:

* small market cap
* low stock price
* beaten down by tax loss selling late in the previous year
* owned primarily by individuals

The purpose of this thread is to identify stocks that meet these criteria.

Similar threads I started the last two years were quite successful:

January Effect 2000:
Subject 32350
My return, net of trading costs, was +17% vs. +10.6% for the Russell 2000. Here's my final report:
Message 12781974

January Effect 1999:
Subject 24490
My return, net of trading costs, was +11%, vs. nil for the Russell 2000. Here's my final report:
Message 7737621

I will follow the mechanical timing formula that I used last year:
* I bought in the period Dec. 20 - Dec. 28
* I sold everything by the first Friday in February, unless:
* If a stock had a +35% gain on a stock, I sold it automatically by a limit order

This timing is based on historical average charts for low-priced stocks.

Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):

Reply	Message Preview	From	Recs	Posted
289	ANYONE COMPILING A 2004 JANUARY EFFECT LIST?	whitepaw98	-	10/26/2004
288	Thank you for the link.	David	-	12/18/2002
287	Subject 53512	Dana Merrill	-	12/18/2002
286	Anyone compiling a January Effect 2002 list???	David	-	12/18/2002
285	Announcing the new January Effect 2002 thread: Subject 52124 Please join me the	Q.	-	12/10/2001
284	Here's a pointer to an academic article on the January Effect. Message 1674	Doc Bones	-	12/5/2001
283	I generally look for out of favor small to micro (not BB/Pink sheet) caps on the	SemiBull	-	12/5/2001
282	medium to small, no micro caps, no otcbb/pinksheets.	RockyBalboa	-	12/5/2001
281	Medium, small or micro-cap?	SemiBull	-	12/5/2001
280	That raises the question whether the buy back of the position happens in the old	RockyBalboa	-	12/5/2001
279	When I first read the theory of the "early" January effect, it sort of	SemiBull	-	12/5/2001
278	Maybe... depends on how people act with dogs they sell for tax losses. There are	RockyBalboa	-	12/5/2001
277	What I meant was I think we are seeing the January '02 effect, now, in Decem	SemiBull	-	12/5/2001
276	Which year? 2001? Don't understand.	RockyBalboa	-	12/5/2001
275	I have a sneaky suspicion that we are seeing the January effect early this year.	SemiBull	-	12/5/2001
274	N, do you think we see a january effect 2002? It is time to look out for candid	RockyBalboa	-	12/5/2001
273	I was actually thinking of the phenomenon where busted stocks continue to get tr	Q.	-	9/26/2001
272	You were right! <i>...but most of the stocks will continue to trade. <	RockyBalboa	-	9/25/2001
271	re. <<Not very much of the .bombs will be around come tax loss selling.>	Q.	-	9/23/2001
270	N, one dire note about money losing companies. Some time last year we talked the	RockyBalboa	-	9/23/2001
269	Eric, I 'm nibbling at beaten-up high-quality stocks, but not in a heavy way	Q.	-	9/22/2001
268	Hello, N. Long time, no see. I haven't looked at the portfolio for a while.	RockyBalboa	-	9/21/2001
267	Hello "N", I was just thinking of posting here. I am Curious to what y	EACarl	-	9/21/2001
266	Infostream, your port is now down 3%, and mine is now down 5%. That's a lot	Q.	-	9/21/2001
265	IS, your port had lower-priced stocks, so one would expect it to be more volatil	Q.	-	3/2/2001

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