Predictions - Does Anybody Get It Right?

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Pastimes
Predictions - Does Anybody Get It Right?

An SI Board Since January 2002

Posts	SubjectMarks	Bans
117	7	0

Emcee: Dale Baker	Type: Moderated

Introduction Compact

SI is full of predictions about stocks, indexes, commodities, politics, the war on terrorism, sports, you name it.

And most of those predictions are wrong.

Can anyone on SI document a success rate over 50% on any subject? Most of the frequent short-term market forecasters clearly don't cut it.

This is a forum to post when someone gets a prediction right - and when they get it wrong. The only rule is that the prediction and the actual outcome must be clearly linked.

This post on a famous hypester is a good model: Message 16938929

Have fun!

Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):

Reply	Message Preview	From	Recs	Posted
117	I finally found someone who got it right! ENERGY SPIKES COULD SURPRISE INVESTOR	Dale Baker	-	6/28/2005
116	Looks like the excess liquidity is jumping in ahead of the turnips' expectat	Dale Baker	-	3/4/2002
115	Here is a quote that puts predictions into perspective: "When you're p	Dale Baker	-	2/22/2002
114	<I> Why was clownfinger in the news</I> Because he ran his big fat m	benchpress550	-	2/18/2002
113	Hey Dale -- here's a couple of wild predictions from me. Look at the date on	ChrisJP	-	2/18/2002
112	Dale: Not sure if your goal is to actually find reliable forecasters or to <b	bobby beara	1	2/18/2002
111	Dale: Not sure if your goal is to actually find reliable forecasters or to ridic	the-phoenix	-	2/18/2002
110	Why was goldfinger in the news? Got a link?	At_The_Ask	-	2/18/2002
109	Tell me about this list you have. what have they done?	At_The_Ask	-	2/18/2002
108	Maybe the assumption that he was long those stocks is the "oops"	Jorj X Mckie	-	2/18/2002
107	Why is that "Oops"?	Steve Lee	-	2/17/2002
106	Oops: Message 16325233	Dale Baker	-	2/16/2002
105	Actually, on the turnips thread, in the "core", we have some "fin	Zeev Hed	-	2/9/2002
104	The turnips seem to be in tune with the Naz channels again. Once we zig-zag up t	Dale Baker	-	2/9/2002
103	Dale, in #reply-17024285, I had a small bounce from 1793 and a max low for Febru	Zeev Hed	-	2/9/2002
102	Did not even notice which thread I was posting on! Hank	McNabb Brothers	-	2/6/2002
101	Probably CSCO' CC. Maybe my very negative post on TYC on the turnips thread	Zeev Hed	-	2/6/2002
100	Zeev, Futures were up on the S&P and the NAZ in after hours on the CSCO rep	McNabb Brothers	-	2/6/2002
99	My worth "damage on this leg is 1757, but I have a nominal turn at 1793, I	Zeev Hed	-	2/6/2002
98	To give credit where credit is due, your "prediction" on the Naz headi	Dale Baker	-	2/6/2002
97	WOW - positive GDP for the fourth quarter????????????? Talk about a whole herd	Dale Baker	-	1/30/2002
96	Same thoughts on OCCF - nothing surprising in 10K (if you had done your DD). Pr	REH	-	1/30/2002
95	REH That 10 K read like a horror story about to climax. Got any thoughts now?	Fiscally Conservative	-	1/29/2002
94	WHY WHY WHY... AND FOR FREE AT THAT -LOL-<<<< ya fark me, i predict	bobby beara	-	1/29/2002
93	WHY WHY WHY... AND FOR FREE AT THAT -LOL- no free lunch is correct but, $99/yea	d:oug	-	1/29/2002

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