Predict the 2004 Election | Political Discussion Forums

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Politics
Predict the 2004 Election

An SI Board Since October 2004

Posts	SubjectMarks	Bans
35	2	0

Emcee: KyrosL	Type: Moderated

Introduction Compact

Post your predictions for the 2004 election. Please just post ONCE in the following format by 11:59pm Monday, Nov 1, 2004.

Bush|Kerry by Y electoral votes.

Example: Bush wins by 10 electoral votes

1st tie breaking question:
Popular vote: Bush|Kerry by x.x% (one decimal point e.g. 2.1%)

Example: Kerry wins popular vote by 0.5% (e.g. Bush 48.7%, Kerry 49.2%)

2nd tie breaking question:
Senate: Democrats|Republicans win by N seats

Example: Republicans by 1 seat (e.g. Reps 50 Dems 49)

3rd tie breaking question:
House: Democrats|Republicans win by M seats

Example: Republicans by 17 seats (e.g. Reps 226 Dems 209)

The winner will be annouced when definitive numbers are available from AP.

Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):

Reply	Message Preview	From	Recs	Posted
35	Great call!	BubbaFred	-	11/4/2004
34	Good forecasting. (eom)	Brumar89	-	11/3/2004
33	Good forecasting. (eom)	Brumar89	-	11/3/2004
32	I have never been so glad to be wrong .......	jlallen	-	11/3/2004
31	Congratulations heronwater! Your numbers were very close to the apparent final	KyrosL	-	11/3/2004
30	Oh. Well. If you knew what you were talking about, you would know what he did	Lazarus_Long	-	11/2/2004
29	Electoral Votes: Bush wins with------- Bush 286 -1 electoral defection = 285	MJ	-	11/2/2004
28	Bush will pull the rabbit out of Kerry's hat. :)	Fiscally Conservative	-	11/1/2004
27	Funny how so many people feel that we shouldn't change president in a war. T	Oak Tree	-	11/1/2004
26	Agreed, but a sharp election is unlikely with so many lawyers trying to build a	Oak Tree	-	11/1/2004
25	I guess that there will be contests ... especially in Florida. My guess is that	Oak Tree	-	11/1/2004
24	I think your guess is about right. That is Kerry wins by 13 votes/3.3% popular .	Oak Tree	-	11/1/2004
23	Until late last week I thought Bush would win. But I changed my mind. Here in	KyrosL	-	11/1/2004
22	Ouch! Thank Goodness we only go through this process every four years. -g- <	heronwater	-	11/1/2004
21	I sincerly hope you are wrong...even if it means a Kerry win....	jlallen	-	11/1/2004
20	We wake up Wed. morning .. No one has the required 270 electoral votes .. re-cou	Triffin	-	11/1/2004
19	Electoral College: Bush 286 - Kerry 252 Popular Vote: Bush 50% - Kerry 49% Sen	heronwater	-	11/1/2004
18	I believe you are probably correct....BUT....I'm hoping we will all be surpr	jlallen	-	11/1/2004
17	Alas, sharp breaks don't appear to be in the cards. The trends appear to be	Mao II	-	11/1/2004
16	Possibly.....but hopefully not likely....the best thing that could happen (for t	jlallen	-	11/1/2004
15	If i bet i lose--its a fact of life.	michael97123	-	11/1/2004
14	So what is your prediction? BTW, there have been no takers to my challenge yet.	Sun Tzu	-	11/1/2004
13	FOX News/Opn Dyn: Kerry 48, Bush 46, Nader 1 \| Kerry 48, Bush 46 Rasmussen: Bus	michael97123	-	11/1/2004
12	Don't you think an electoral tie is a growing possibility? M2	Mao II	-	11/1/2004
11	unbeat [so far] predictor Message 20713503	Rainy_Day_Woman	-	11/1/2004

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