Congratulations to Lewis. Well done. But THOR is no surprise -- it was revealed in 2011. And okay, HFT is technologically complex but the tactic is as simple as scalping. It's quite similar to games being played by, and with, Ticketmaster.
2009 Message 25818775 Message 25817241 Message 25816857 Message 25808364 Message 25775803 2010 Message 26634980 Message 26681504 Message 26724791 Message 26724955 ** SCALPING Message 26726307 Message 26727296 Message 26727855 Message 26738637 Message 26738673 Message 26738800 *** MSM Message 26783753 Message 26819309 Message 26820242 *** RISK AGAIN Message 26822065 Message 26824949 Message 26826613 Message 26862421 Message 26864252 Message 26892126 Message 26892148 Message 26900492 Message 26922271 2011 Message 26929958 Message 27098180 *** THOR Message 27098585 Message 27182215 *** INCENTIVIZE Message 27246260 Message 27366843 Message 27498427 Message 27523615 Message 27528539 Message 27643780 *** TRANSACTION COST Message 27643814 Message 27644536 Message 27644930 Message 27645092 Message 27647858 *** MORE RISK Message 27721043 Message 27780366 Message 28289551 *** ENERGY MARKETS 2012 Message 28308511 Message 28377161 Message 28384886 *** BUYING DATA Message 28389851 ***LOW RISK/EASYMONEY Message 28470367 Message 28473808 *** EFFECT OF THOR? 2013 Message 28828164 2014 Message 29467453 Message 29467583 ~~~
Remember: (A) The time and the context of HFT. It flourished as the political manifestations of neoliberalism spread to deregulation, de-funding of regulatory agencies, and their consequent weakness, compounded by regulatory capture. Not to mention the growth of the financial sector, with unprecedented lobbying, financial contributions and Beltway influence. (B) The consequences, visible in stories like the one about GS trading a whole quarter without a loss. How about Virtu? One trading day loss in 1238! Any trader will tell you that's statistically impossible - or to put it another way, it's not "trading" at all. It's certainly not "investing". Multiply those profits across 'X' number of participants, and you begin to understand there's a multibillion-dollar skim running, every day. Lest we forget, it's global. (C) The volumetric change in market participation ratios. Very public complaints and withdrawal -- by mistrusting investors, especially after the Flash Crash. Many other regulatory changes occurred at roughly the same time. Stock exchanges went public, and co-dependent relationships evolved between HFT firms and exchanges. Meanwhile a forest of practices grew in the sector: momentum ignition, order anticipation, layering, quote stuffing, order book fading, and so on. Not to mention publicly-acknowldeged leaking of material information for profit, to a select few. ~~~ Be aware that change didn't come from Beltway legislators. It didn't come from regulators. It didn't come from agencies, the judiciary or law enforcement. It didn't come from anybody whose duty it was to maintain equitable conduct in markets. Stakeholders -- the public, the economy, the nation -- be damned. Those responsible didn't have the balls to stand up and say, "This is wrong. We won't allow it." There was no evidence -- absolutely none -- that responsible actors would make any changes, beyond cosmetic. I've been following the dog-and-pony show for years. Quite simply, they were too corrupt. Bought. Almost all of them. Intentionally blind to what was ultimately bad for the system, but good for them. So in a sense, the success and growth of "ethical" HFT isn't much of a victory. Because it occurs in spite of legislators, agencies and institutions who were not and are not prepared to do a damned thing, as long as they get their cut from the take.
Jim |