To: Hawaii60 who wrote (7989 ) 5/20/1999 1:31:00 AM From: David Wise Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 30916
You got that wrong. ZD owns closer to 80% of ZDZ, NOT 20%. So your conclusion is backwards - since ZD went down from about $30 pre-IPO to $13 today, IDTC (given your logic) should do the same, or more (66% ownership of Net2Phone v. 80% of ZDZ). Total IPO, including overallotment, was 11,500,000. Total shares were 71,500,000. Options for an additional 10,000,000 were outstanding, and I'm not sure how they played out, but at worst case, ZD owns 74% and at best about 85% of ZDZ. Of course for some reason you never listened to me. I told you this many times. Now MALL, which I have owned and added to today, will spin off ALL of their UBID shares as promised at IPO. Why MALL was so undervalued, I don't know. I'll receive .7 shares of UBID, currently at $48, for each share of MALL. MALL is still a bargain at $39. Will UBID drop some to meet the .7 price? It really shouldn't. Their revenue is growing incredibly fast. I can't say from spin-off experience, because I have none (at least I admit it). But since I think MALL shares are worth almost this much anyway, I see big gains ahead, in addition to today's 30% gain. Now if IDTC had said they'd spin off the IPO to shareholders after 6 months, I'd be buying! Your long winded sales pitch just got a hole blown in it, since your premise was that ZD only owned 20% of ZDZ and that's why they fell. Your conclusion was that IDTC, owning 66% of N2P would not fall as dramatically. Would you care to revise your conclusion? By the way, you might impress some people when you talk about calling the company's secretary, or some .10 cent analyst, but I happen to find this laughable. What do you expect them to tell you, "no, management screwed up. The IPO will certainly reduce your value in our stock." And why do 5 analysts (at least) rate IDTC as Hold? One more correction, your comments about the core holdings of IDTC being "worthless", and the new information about them keeping a "controlling interest" in N2P changing analysts' opinion is bogus. IDTC has far more actual value than N2P will recognize in many years. Unfortunately with earnings coming out by this Monday, and expenses of repurchasing bonds, issuing new debt, and preparing for IPO, they probably won't meet earnings expectations. But long term (2 years) IDTC's core business will still be far greater than N2P's.